May 28, 2020

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ALDS Game 2: Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros-10/4/19

 By Drew Modjeski

Not going to lie, it was a long work week. #Winnersonlysaturday could not come fast enough. Now everybody, crack open a beer, call your bookie and let’s win some money. The Astros took the 1-0 series lead on Friday as Justin Verlander destroyed the Rays hitters. It is do or die for the Rays, because if they go down 2-0, they’re screwed.

Money Line- Tampa Bay Rays +255, Houston Astros -285

Run Line- Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (+120), Houston Astros -1.5 (-140)

Over/Under- 7.5 (O -103, U -117)

First Pitch- 8:07 p.m. CST. Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays did not play terrible against the Astros in game 1. Tyler Glasnow pitched four good innings as the game heading into the fifth tied 0-0. The problem? The Astros busted the Rays wide open in the fifth. A Jose Altuve bomb put the Astros up and they never turned back. The Rays are going to need more offensive production early on if they want a chance in this series.

Former AL Cy Young Blake Snell gets the start in Game 2. Snell has regressed a lot this season as his ERA jumped from 1.89 last year to 4.29 this year. Even worse for the Rays, Snell has sucked this year on the road. When in Tampa, his ERA is sitting at a great 2.89 while it is a terrible 5.82 while on the road. Similar to the game 1 starter, Snell has recently come back from an injury as he pitched in September for the first time since the middle of July. In the three games Snell has pitched in September, he only allowed three earned runs, but he also only pitched six innings total. The Rays are going to have to turn to their bullpen who had to work a lot in the past few days. With how dangerous the Astros hitters are, the Rays may be in trouble.

Houston Astros

Seriously, wtf is this Astros team. They had AL Cy Young candidate Justin Verlander on the mound for game 1. How do they follow that up? By having AL Cy Young candidate Gerrit Cole on the mound for game 2. Cole has not allowed more than two earned runs in his last six starts. Cole is on a five-game winning streak and is coming off a September where he had a 1.07 ERA. The Astros don’t have much to worry about when Cole is on the mound.

The Astros got to face Snell once this season, but it came in the first game of the season. But in that game, they took Snell to the shed for five earned runs. In game 1, the Astros got nine hits off of the Rays for six runs. They probably won’t need to score as many runs in game 2, but the more runs the better.

Analysis and Prediction

Astros, Astros and the Astros. I know the run line is dangerous but take the Astros at the run line at -140. The money line is too high for me to see the advantage of betting it.