By Matt Szeliga September 18, 2020
Bayern Munich VS. Schalke 04
Moneyline: Bayern Munich -1000, Schalke 04 +1750, Draw +1000
Over/Under @ 3.5 Over -176 , Under +125
Spread: @ ½ ,1 Over -10000, Under +4000
Time/Location: 09/18/2020 2:30pm ET, Allianz Stadium, Munich, Germany
Bayern Munich obtained the treble this past season and is looking to repeat this coming season. It comes without substantiation that Bayern are clear favorites to win the Bundesliga and the likelihood of Hans-Dieter Flick’s squad suffering a hangover after such a successful season. Loan players Ivan Perisic and Philippe Coutinho played pivotal roles during the team’s Champions League run and have returned to their parent clubs for the 2020/2021 season. Key central defenders David Alaba and Jerome Boateng have been designated doubtful for this match; leaving a gap in the middle of the park for Bayern.
Robert Lewandowski netted 34 goals in the Bundesliga last season, and with the arrival of Leroy Sane, Flick’s squad has only been bolstered on the attacking front ahead of the 2020 season. With the departure of Thiago Alcantara, it is expected that Flick will return to his previous starting 11 with Joshua Kimmich playing central defensive midfielder and Benjamin Pavard returning to the first team to play right back. The key for this match is going to be the effectiveness of Boateng and Alaba replacements, and whether they can carry their weight.
Schalke foreseeably will be taking a step down from their form last season. Weston Mckennie is going to be missed in the middle of the park as often it seemed as if he was one of few able to make sense of their middle field troubles. Schalke’s starting 11 is full of potential, however, the team is still a work in progress. This squad is simply no match for the high octane Bayen offense.
Schalke in their past 36 fixtures against Bayern Munich, has lost 27, won 3, and drawn 6. In their most recent match, Bayern left victorious off of a 5-0 win, and the only anticipated difference from this match would be a goal for Schalke. Bayern is injury-riddled in the defensive line and Schalke needs to capitalize on Bayern’s weak links.
Analysis and Pick
Bayern Munich at this point are an impenetrable force and simultaneously loaded with goal-scoring machines. My Lock is the over @ 3.5 goals at -176, with such a lopsided match the moneyline is untouchable. The lack of central defenders for Bayern Munich provides uncanny value for the over. Schalke in the 19/20 season only found the back of the net 38 times while Bayern Munich striker scored 34 goals solely.