August 4, 2020

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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians: Preview, Analysis, & Best Bet – 7/29/20

By: Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)

7/29/20

We get one of these 5:10 CST starts that only seem to arise in Cleveland but I’m all here for it. The White Sox look to reclaim some of their dignity as they try and scrape together a win against the Indians on Wednesday evening. Here’s our best bet and analysis for tonight’s matchup. 

Money Line: CWS -114, CLE +104

Run Line: CWS -1.5 (+136), CLE +1.5 (-156)

Total: 9 (O -125, U +105)

First Pitch: 5:10 CST, Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Chicago White Sox

Well, White Sox fans, 2020 was supposed to be the year that the boys put it all together and we finally make a run at the playoffs. And while only five games in and with plenty of time remaining, this isn’t the start Chicago fans were looking for. It’ll be Lucas Giolito on the bump for the series finale and he’s hoping to look better than his season debut when he was shellacked for four runs in the first inning against the Twins. Giolito was tagged for seven earned runs and only made it through 3.2 IP. In 2019, Lucas faced the Indians twice, going a combined 14.2 IP and limiting the tribe to just three earned runs on eight hits and two walks. Pretty electric stuff!

As for Chicago’s hitting, Tim Anderson led the charge on Tuesday, going 3-5 in game one of the double header. He hit his first bomb of 2020 and added a pair of doubles. It seemed like the issue was a lack of timely hitting. There was certainly no shortage of baserunners in both games. 

Cleveland Indians

As for the Indians, they’ll look to keep pace with the Twins, who have shown zero signs of cooling off after a hot 2019. Cleveland currently sits at 4-1 overall and are 8th in our MLB Power Rankings. Today they’ll send Zack Plesac to the bump. Plesac will be making his season debut and went 8-6 in 2019 with a 3.81 ERA. His WHIP was 1.23, owned a K/9 rate of 6.8, and also gave up 1.5 HR/9 IP. Plesac threw against the Sox twice in his rookie season and it was two polar opposite outings. His first start saw him go 7.0 IP giving up only one run on four hits and during the second outing, he only lasted 5.0 IP, giving up six runs on eight hits.

We all know what this Cleveland offense is capable of. We saw Frank Lindor crush a two-run bomb off of Cease yesterday as well as Carlos Santana against Rodon. In my opinion, it’s kind of a top-heavy lineup which will ultimately hurt them but those top 4-5 guys can make you pay if you miss your spots.

Final Analysis & Best Bet

I swear I’m not a White Sox homer that bets on them to win every game. I am 100% unbiased when it comes to betting on sports and similar to Stephen A. Smith’s bit, Sox fans have just been hoodwinked, bamboozled, lead astray, run amok, and flat out deceived in 2020. There were such high expectations and I thought it was well worth the risk to get them on plus-odds in both games yesterday. Well, I’m going back to the well as I’m backing Lucas Giolito and the White Sox on the money line (-114) for a unit on Wednesday. The head-to-head stats are extremely overpowering in Giolito’s favor and I expect a sense of urgency from Chicago here. I think they break out the sticks this game, which is why I’ll be playing half of a unit on CWS -1.5 (+136) as well. 

Trent’s Sports Betting Record

Trent’s Lifetime Lynq Sports Record: 157-110-4 (+33.570 units). A $100 bettor is up $3,357.00.

Trent’s 2020 MLB Record: 5-3 (+1.489 units). A $100 bettor is up $148.9 in 2020.

Trent’s 2019 MLB Record: 47-43-3 (+6.846 units). A $100 bettor profited $684.60 in 2019.

For more sports talk, follow me on Twitter: @trentbets