August 4, 2020

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Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: Preview, Analysis & Best Bet – 7/31/20

By: Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)

7/31/20

Our beloved White Sox will look to build off their series finale win over the Tribe on Wednesday as they open up a three-game set at “The K.” As for the Royals, they currently reside in fourth place in the A.L. Central at 3-4 after splitting a four-game series with the Tigers. Strap it in for a thrilling weekend of A.L. Central baseball as both teams have playoff hopes thanks to the expanded playoffs that the MLB will feature this year! 

Money Line: CWS -165, KC +152

Run Line: CWS -1.5 (-110), KC +1.5 (-110)

Total: 9.5 (O -110, U -110)

First Pitch: 7:05 CST, Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO

Chicago White Sox

Rick Renteria will give Dallas Keuchel the nod on Friday as the White Sox try to claw their way back into a competitive A.L. Central. Keuchel was masterful against a dominant Minnesota team last Saturday as the Sox went on to win that one 10-3. Keuchel went 5.1 IP, giving up two earned runs on just three hits. He was on a short leash (and likely pitch count) as he was pulled in the 5th after getting one out but two guys reached base. Then Steve Cishek came in and gave up a nuke to Nelson Cruz right away, sticking Dallas with two earned runs. 

The Sox bats were finally able to find their groove once Zach Plesac left the game after 8 IP on Wednesday. Terry Francona went to Brad Hand in the 9th and the Sox were able to earn all four runs in the 4-0 win over the Indians in the top of that frame. Luis Robert is on a tear and has gotten hits in the first 6 games of his career – he’s going to be so good. 

Kansas City Royals

Skipper, Mike Matheny will go with the lefty, Kris Bubic to make his MLB debut on Friday night to open up a big series for both teams. Bubic is a highly touted lefty out of Stanford who Kansas City took with the 40th pick in the 2018 MLB Draft. This was a quick rise and according to MLB Trade Rumors, he racked up 101 2/3 innings of 2.30 ERA ball with 9.7 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 over 17 starts in High-A in 2019. From my understanding of the rule, which isn’t very knowledgeable, he can stay up (in the MLB) this whole season and not run into a service time issue that always seems to hold clubs back. 

As for the Royals bats, they’ve been decent out of the gate. They are 9th in the league in runs scored (31), 6th in homers (9), but 24th in batting average (.209). They’re led by probably my favorite guy to watch, and least favorite guy to play against: Whit Merrifield. The speedster is batting .391 with an OBP of .440 with two bombs and seven RBI’s through the first seven games. 

Final Analysis & Best Bet

The White Sox are favorites in this matchup and for good reason. Dallas Keuchel had an excellent outing against arguably the best hitting team in the league in his Chicago debut and will look to build on that Friday night. I will be playing the White Sox on the money line -165 for a unit in this game. 

Chicago crushed LHP in 2019, hitting .285 in 114 games that they faced lefties. That trend is off to a hot start in 2020 as well where they’ve gone 10-26 (.385) off of LHP with two homeruns and two doubles. Now add that this is a rookie who has never seen competition higher than High-A, it might be a recipe for disaster. 

As for Dallas Keuchel, he holds this Royals roster to a .108 average in 65 AB’s. The dangerous White Merrifield is 6-12 against the lefty but other than that, nothing stands out. Perez is 2-24, Franko is 0-3, and Soler, Mondesi, and Lopez are all 0-2. Chicago gets it done tonight! Let’s start off this weekend with a winner!

Trent’s Sports Betting Record

Trent’s Lifetime Lynq Sports Record: 159-110-4 (+35.127 units). A $100 bettor is up $3,512.70.

Trent’s 2020 MLB Record: 7-3 (+3.046 units). A $100 bettor is up $304.60 in 2020.

Trent’s 2019 MLB Record: 47-43-3 (+6.846 units). A $100 bettor profited $684.60 in 2019.

For more sports talk, follow me on Twitter: @trentbets