College Football Week 4 Best Bets

Northwestern (+9.5)

The Wildcats are 1-1 and lost to Stanford Week 1. I think they’ll lose again here but they should keep it close. The combination of being at home, having a decent defense, and playing an unmotivated offense in Michigan State will all help this game stay close. Michigan State is 1-2 ATS and has never been a team to run up the score. Northwestern is usually very strong in conference play and should keep this one competitive until the end.

Washington State (-19)

Washington State can put up numbers when they’re playing bad opposition. UCLA is one of the worst. The only real flaw for Wazzu is their run stop which matches up perfectly since UCLA can’t run. The pass game isn’t great either so Wazzu should be able to pick up a huge lead pretty early. They’ll want to get the close win in the rearview mirror and get back to their dominant ways. UCLA gets burned on the pass so Anthony Gordon should feast.

Texas A&M (-3.5)

Even though they’re ranked lower, TAMU should be able to handle Auburn. Both of these teams are 3-0 against the spread and both have played really good teams so far, but Texas A&M has been more impressive. It starts with coaching. Jimbo Fisher is doing more with less than Gus Malzahn and it isn’t close. Bo Nix is a 5-star quarterback and seems like he isn’t trusted. The win against Oregon wasn’t because of what Nix did it was just a collapse from the Ducks. Texas A&M can score in every way and should be able to top a good Auburn defense. Going the other way, Texas A&M will dominate Auburn’s offense. Fisher knows how to take down anyone and Nix won’t be an exception. Take TAMU.

Temple (-14)

The Owls stifled a great Maryland offense last week and that should speak to how good they are. They shut them down and crushed them. Temple does travel to Buffalo this week but they should still be able to handle the 1-2 Bulls. Temple is averaging 392 yards of passing per game and will enjoy preying upon a lacking Buffalo pass defense. The run is also an important part of their game as it keeps other defenses honest. Buffalo’s offense runs primarily through the rush and that plays right into Temple’s dominant run defense. The Owls average less than 100 rushing YPG. This should be a blowout.

North Carolina (-3)

UNC burned me earlier but I’m happy to go back and dip in the well. Mack Brown’s team looks good and I know App State is good too, but they won’t be able to get it done in Chapel Hill. The Tar Heels are 2-1 against a spread with the only loss being an away game loss to Wake Forest. App State is 1-1. North Carolina is strong in all forms of offense and the defense isn’t terrible. App State has a pretty bad defense and is generally a run first team. That should help North Carolina stop and score enough to keep the game just out of reach. It should be close but definitely more than a field goal.