The surprisingly alright Pittsburgh Pirates welcome in the disappointing Colorado Rockies for game one of their series tonight at PNC Park. The Pirates are coming in on a little bit of a heater after they took three of four games from the San Diego Padres. Colorado is on the reverse trend as they have dropped four games in a row; one to Boston and three to Philadelphia. Chris Archer will be facing off against German Marquez tonight. Believe it or not, the pitching matchup leans towards Marquez. He carries a 3.80 ERA with him while Archer’s is 5.58.
Line – Colorado -124, Pittsburgh +104
Spread – Colorado -1.5
O/U – 7.5
First Pitch – 6:00 p.m. CT at PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
The Rockies came into this season fresh off a playoff birth last year. Expectations were high, but they have disappointed as we sit almost at the end of May. Colorado’s offense, led by Charlie Blackmon and Nolan Arenado, have been slightly above the middle of the pack. Their on base percentage is a little low as it sits right about .300, but the pitching has been the problem. The Rockies lowest ERA from a starting pitcher is 3.80, and that belongs to Marquez. The next closest is a 4.73. Jam them all together and you get a 5.00 team ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. Colorado has all the abilities to smash in runs, but they need some help from their pitching staff.
Pat yourselves on the back Pirates fans. You have a pretty damn good team, but just play in a really tough division. The Pirates have a guy by the name of Josh Bell that is an All-Star in the making. He has 14 bombs so far this season and is ripping the cover off the baseball. On the defensive side of the ball, Jordan Lyles is making a name for himself on the bump. He has a 1.97 ERA and strikes out 9.3 batters per nine innings pitched. The other starters aren’t too shabby either as they have two other guys in their rotation with mid-3.00 ERAs. This staff is sneaky good. Unfortunately for them, I feel like they will be a fourth-place team all season since they have to worry about the Cubs, Brewers, and Cardinals all the time.
Analysis & Prediction
Over both the Rockies and Pirates last 20 combined games, they have gone over 7.5 runs in 15 of those 20 games. For that reason, I’m liking the over of 7.5 tonight. I think the ball will be flying around. Josh Bell is going to continue to hit taters, and Archer is going to get blown Up. Blackmon may even hit one into the river. Who knows.
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