By: David Vasquez
Spread: Denver Broncos -2/Oakland Raiders +2
Kickoﬀ: September 09 2019, 20:20 PM ET | Oakland Coliseum
Analysis and Prediction:
Both these teams weren’t very good in general and against the spread last season. Oakland was 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games. Denver are 1-4 ATS in their last 5. I’m having trouble wrapping my head around Antonio Brown, he was fined by GM Mike Mayock for missing team activities and proceeded to post said fine on Instagram and provided the media with a show Wednesday during practice. He’s been informally suspended for Monday night’s game, and the line was shifted from a pick ‘em to Oakland being a two point underdog at home. This could be a bluﬀ, but I doubt it, they need to get Brown under control and perhaps missing game action might get that through his new Xenith Shadow helmet. I predicted Brown to get more than 100 receptions this season, via my 5 BOLD predictions of 2019, I’ll stand by it, no way Brown misses more than a single game.
Oakland placed 23rd in total oﬀense and 32nd in defensive eﬃciency in 2018. While the Broncos were 19th in oﬀensive rankings and 13th in defense. First of all, this Broncos defense will be much improved under new HC Vic Fangio, plus Nick Chubb is trending in the right direction for year two. The Oakland oﬀense struggled to move the ball and they’ll have a tough time against their divisional rival, especially without star WR Antonio Brown. At the time of writing, wind conditions are predicted to be at around 18 MPH, while these numbers are three days out, they’ll still be above 15 MPH. Meaning there will be a premium on rushing eﬃciency, which I’ll give the edge to the Broncos who ranked 12th in 2018 as opposed to Oakland’s 25th.
I’ll note that Oakland is 3-0 ATS in their last three matchups against the Broncos. But I’m going contrarian on this one. New head coach, new quarterback, new oﬀense, same dominant pass rush. It’ll be a tight divisional game on Monday night but Denver will cover 2 points.
Pick: Denver Broncos -2