The Minnesota Twins are in the early part of a homestand as they will host the Detroit Tigers for a doubleheader today in the Twin Cities. The first game of the day will feature a matchup between Michael Pineda and Spencer Turnbull. Minnesota is coming in hot as they have won four games in a row. Granted, three of them were against the Blue Jays and one was against the Tigers, but the way they are beating these teams is impressive. Their starting pitchers haven’t allowed a run over the last three games and have only allowed one run over the last four. Detroit has only won four times in their last 10 games, but have been fairly competitive all year.
Line – Minnesota -162, Detroit +141
Spread – Minnesota -1.5
O/U – 9
First Pitch – 1:10 p.m. CT at Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
After starting the season 7-3, the Tigers have fallen off of the wagon a little as they currently sit at 16-19. This is still fairly impressive considering they weren’t expected to do much this season. The pitching and offensive numbers, however, explain perfectly why Detroit has the record they do so far. All of the numbers scream that they are a middle of the road team. Their offensive slash line as a team is .227/.297/.366 and their pitching staff’s ERA is 4.61. There is nothing exciting about these numbers. Their starter today is Turnbull who isn’t having too bad of a season. He has seven starts and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his games. Considering this is only his second season in the Big Leagues, he has impressed thus far.
Everything about this Twins team this year has been impressive. They are leading the league in slugging percentage, are top three in batting average, and are top 10 in a bunch of pitching categories. The biggest surprise has been the starting pitching. The four pitchers of Jose Berrios, Jake Odorizzi, Martin Perez, and Kyle Gibson have been unreal over their last four starts. However, Michael Pineda will be on the bump today, and he has struggled mightily this season. Big Mike carries an ERA north of 6.00 and has a negative WAR. I’m not ready to give up on him as this is his first year back from Tommy John Surgery. Even if Pineda has a rough outing today, the Twins have the bats to keep them in the game.
Analysis & Prediction
I think the Twins are going to win game one. Pineda will give the five innings with probably three earned runs, but the bats will pick him up. Minnesota’s lineup probably has a bunch of guys that no one knows, but these boys are swinging a hot stick. Plus, I feel that the Twins will push hard for game one because they will be going with a bullpen game for game two. For the first game, hit the Twins money line. For the second game of the doubleheader, avoid the all living hell out of that game. No one will win.
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