By: Austin Moehn (@austin_moehn22)
We got a fun Saturday in-store as a few east coast teams are playing doubleheaders, with one of these two game matchups being the Nationals vs. the Brewers. Now with doubleheaders, it’s challenging to try and find information like who’s going to pitch and which game are they going to, but I’ve attempted to see all the information I could get, and I’m feeling good about the wagers today. Cubs legend Ernie Banks famously said, “Let’s play two!” and I’m going to listen to Mr. Cub and give you my best play for each game. So let’s have a great day and get right into the action!
Game 1 Best Bet and Preview
(Odds via William Hill)
Moneyline: WSH: (-115) | MIL: (+105)
Spread: WSH: -1.5 (+155) | MIL: +1.5 (-180)
Total: Over: 9 (-120) | Under: (even)
First Pitch: 1:15 pm CST | Nationals Park | Washington, D.C.
The assumed pitching matchup for the first game of the doubleheader is Patrick Corbin vs. Freddy Peralta. The 2021 season has been very different for the starters as Milwaukee’s Peralta is having a career season with a WHIP below one and an ERA of 2.54. On the other hand, Corbin has had the worst start to a season in his career as he has an ERA of 6.33 with a WHIP of 1.553. The thing here is Milwaukee’s offense still hasn’t proven itself as a major threat, and Corbin is a veteran who has had success facing current members of the Brewers roster.
With Milwaukee’s offense being a question mark in this game, I’m going to go with the under (even) as my best bet for game one. Now, this seems like an easy play because the game is seven innings. The thing is the Nationals lineup is very good and Corbin has struggled this season, which makes this game not an easy pick. But I’m going to go with the under because Peralta has been able to shut down lineups consistently this season, and Patrick Corbin is a veteran and has a good track record against Milwaukee. I think the pitching will do their job to limit runs and turn it to the bullpens where the teams have the luxury of only worrying about 21 outs which means they will only throw their top arms like Brad Hand and Josh Hader. These reasons are why I’m taking the under in game one of the double header.
Game 2 Best Bet
Full analysis and breakdown to Game 2 here
My best bet for game two is Milwaukee on the Moneyline (even). With the Brewers lineup showing better productivity recently and facing off against a struggling Lester and an injury-filled bullpen, I think the Brewers will be able to score runs in the night game. Brett Anderson hasn’t been lights out this season, but he’s a veteran and has been able to do enough to allow Milwaukee a chance to get the win. With how the Brewers batting vs. Nats pitching looks for the second game, I think Anderson will keep Washington’s offense in check, allowing Milwaukee to get out to an early lead. With this being a seven-inning game, this favors the Brewers, who will be able to throw their best arms out of the pen, not needing to bring in four different relievers, and this is another reason why I’m taking Milwaukee in game two.
Austin’s MLB 2021 picks 10-7 (+$190 on $100 bets)
-Austin Moehn @austin_moehn22