June 14, 2021

Lynq Sports

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Floyd Mayweather (50-0, 27 KO’s) vs. Logan Paul (0-1): Preview & Betting Angles – 6/6/2021

By: Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)

Back when I started Lynq Sports in March of 2018 I never thought I’d ever feature content including Logan Paul on my website. But with the way the world has been spiraling out of control, it only makes sense that the social media sensation would make his way into the boxing ring with the GOAT. Floyd “Money” Mayweather last officially fought in August of 2017 when he took on Conor McGregor and earned his 50th win. After that, he picked up an exhibition victory against Tenshin Nasukawa in December of 2018. Floyd made quick work of the rising Japanese star, dropping him three times in the first round with Nasukawa’s corner throwing in the towel after the final time. Here’s everything you need to know about Sunday’s bout including a betting angle if you’re looking to have some skin in this one!

Odds

Mayweather -800 | Paul +500 via Betonline.ag with a condition saying that if the fight goes the distance, then all wagers will be “no action.” So it’s a “tie then no bet” clause which makes sense considering there will not be judges or “official winner read” following this 8-round fight.

All of Sunday’s rules: 

When & Where

The card will be held at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida with the main card starting at 8 ET and Floyd and Logan estimated to enter the ring at 10 ET. 

Tale of the Tape 

Floyd Mayweather

The GOAT’s 44 years old, standing at 5-foot-8 and boasting a 72-inch reach. Floyd weighed 147 in his fight against Nasukawa but it’d be safe to assume he’s going to pack on a few more pounds considering he’s fighting a 190 pound man this time around. 

Logan Paul

Logan’s 26 years old and standing at 6-foot-2 with a 76-inch reach. He will be allowed to weigh no more than 190 Lbs. for this one or he will be fined. Sidenote: my fighting weight is 195 and I’m 6’ 2” so maybe I’m a potential future opponent for Logan. 

How to Watch 

Showtime will be selling the fight for $49.99 on pay-per-view while all of our readers from the UK can find the fight at Sky Sports Box Office. 

My Analysis & Best Way to Bet

Since it makes zero sense to back Floyd in this one at -800, here’s an article with some props from Covers.com including: 

  • First fighter to bleed: Floyd (+350) | Paul (-600)
  • Who will get knocked down first: Floyd (+500) | Paul (-900)
  • Will the fight go the distance: No (-310) | Yes (+205)
  • Will Floyd be knocked down: No (-700) | Yes (+400)
  • Will Logan be knocked down: No (+250) | Yes (-400)

Even the props are juicy AF, which makes sense considering we have arguably one of the best boxers of all time going up against a Youtuber. No disrespect to Logan, but with his only other fight coming against an internet kid, it’s hard to call him a true professional boxer yet. The only major advantage here is that Logan Paul is going to have 25+ pounds on Floyd in this one. And with size comes power. So if Logan’s able to land a power shot and knock Floyd down, he could be in some trouble. But do I think that’s going to happen?

I watched Floyd’s most recent fight with Nasukawa and Mayweather was still incredibly fast with dodging and shaking punches. And his counter moves looked like they hadn’t missed a beat. I mean, he destroyed that kid and it only took two minutes. What’s Logan’s biggest advantage is also going to be Floyd’s biggest advantage. Assuming he still has his evasiveness (I think so), then he’s going to dance around and wear out Logan Paul. And big bodies take more oxygen to continue moving. 

So with Floyd’s advantages in stamina, overall knowledge of boxing and fighting, and the fact that he can still pack a punch, I don’t think he’s going to have too much of an issue on Sunday. I’ll expect him to fend off any early attacks from Logan and keep the big fella moving. As the fight advances, look for Floyd to pick his shots and land some good ones. I know this first bet is juicy, but give me Logan to be knocked down at -400 for 2 units. And then give me the fight to go the distance at +205 for .5 units. If anyone gets knocked down (and out) it’s incredibly likely that it’ll be Logan Paul. So if we cash a -400 bet for two units that would yield a $200 bet a $50 profit. And then it’s worth taking a shot for this one to go the distance at +205 for a $50 bet as if Logan gets knocked out, we just break even on both bets. But I think it’s incredibly possible for Floyd to Knock Logan down, but Logan survives the fight and if that happens, we’ll cash both bets. It’s a tricky one to navigate with the wild odds, but that’s how I’ll be approaching this one Sunday night! Good luck!

Full Card

  • Floyd Mayweather vs. Logan Paul – Exhibition
  • Badou Jack vs. Dervin Colina – Light Heavyweight
  • Jarrett Hurd vs. Luis Arias – Middleweight
  • Chad Johnson vs. Brian Maxwell – Cruiserweight
  • Jean Carlos Torres vs. Zack Kuhn – Junior Welterweight
  • Adrian Benton vs. Pedro Angel Cruz – Lightweight
  • Micky Scala vs. Adam Ramirez – Junior Middleweight
  • Dorian Khan vs. Jonathan Conde – Featherweight
  • Jalil Hackett vs. Angelo Diaz – Welterweight
  • Viddal Riley vs. Quintell Thompson – Cruiserweight

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