By: Trent Pruitt
The Packers and Cowboys will look to bounce back after close losses in week 4. Both teams enter at 3-1 and in the lead of their respective divisions, so this is a pretty big game early on in the season. We’re left with two questions in this game: 1) Who will cover this 3.5 line? and 2) How torqued will Joe Buck be announcing a game that features both the Cowboys AND Aaron Rodgers??
Spread: DAL -3.5, GB +3.5
Money Line: DAL -180, GB +160
Over/Under: 47 (O -111, U -109)
Kickoff: 3:25 CT, AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Green Bay Packers
The Cheeseheads took an L on Thursday Night Football about a week ago when they hosted the Philadelphia Eagles. Twice, late in the game they had the ball inside the Eagles’ 10-yard line but failed to score as they turned the ball over on downs and Aaron Rodgers threw an interception. As I mentioned though, the Pack sit atop the NFC North and they’ll look to pick up another win on Sunday in Jerry’s World. Offensively, things are starting to click for GB although they still rank middle of the pack in terms of stats. They rank 14th in the league in passing offense and 26th in rushing offense with only 86 yards per game. I don’t believe that’s truly indicative of their offense though as they’ve faced respectable defenses to start the year – Bears, Broncos, & Vikings with an honorable mention to Philly.
Defensively, the Packers 26th ranked defense against the run was more than exposed last week. They are allowing 142 yards per game on the ground and the duo of Jordan Howard (87 yards, 5.8 ypc) and Miles Sanders (72 yards, 6.5 ypc) exposed this flaw last week. This will be extremely problematic as the Packers try to hold down Ezekiel Elliot and the Cowboys run game.
Starting off with Zeke, he’s a beast. He’s a two time rushing champ out of Ohio State and in a day & age where runningbacks aren’t getting massive contracts, I think he deserves this one. He’s very talented but even he wouldn’t be nearly as explosive if it wasn’t for that offensive line. Just off the top of my head, Dallas has a top 3 offensive line, right up there with Indianapolis and maybe Pittsburgh. Right on, glad we have that established. I don’t think this is the hottest take out there but I believe without that offensive line and Zeke, Dak Prescott would not even be a starter in this league. There’s a reason Jerry has paid everyone else except Dak – because he isn’t deserving of a massive contract. You can put pretty much anyone back there and they could get the job done. So far on the season Dak has recorded 1,143 yards on a 72.4% completion rate and his TD/INT ratio is 9/3.
Analysis & Prediction
I love the Packers in this spot. They are coming off of a tough loss at home but they are also on ten days rest. We already know the biggest question in this game – Can the Packers stop the run game? In my opinion, they’ll stack the box and make Dak Prescott pass the ball. Green Bay should be up to the task of covering Cooper and Cobb as they rank 3rd against the pass in terms of yardage. Take the Packers and the points in a redemption game on Sunday afternoon.
Trent’s Record on NFL Games in ‘19-’20
1-2 (-1.09 units). A $100 bettor is down $109.
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