The Tigers are in for a tough task when the Houston Astros roll into Detroit. Coming in at number one in The Lynq’s AL power rankings, the Astros are rolling at this point in the season. It will take an amazing team performance from the Tigers to even take one game in this series, but it can be done.
Money Line – Houston Astros -178, Detroit Tigers +168
Run Line – Houston Astros -1.5 (-125), Detroit Tigers +1.5 (+105)
Over/Under – 9.5 (O -135, U +115)
First Pitch – 6:10 p.m. CST Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan
So far on the season, the Astros are plus 69 in run differential. That’s is INSANE. They are 12 runs better than the next best, which is the Rays with plus 57. This team is a complete package. The hitting is amazing, and the pitching may be even better. Colling McHugh is the only starter with a losing record and an ERA over five. Other than McHugh, the starting pitching has been stellar. That includes Tuesday’s starter Wade Miley. Making his ninth start on the season, Miley has a 3.18 ERA. While Miley won’t blow you away, he has only 30 strikeouts on the year, he does not let people get on base for free. He has only let up 11 walks on the year.
The great Astros hitters will be facing a left-handed pitcher on Tuesday. The have limited experience facing lefties this year, only facing 10 lefty starters compared to the 31 games against right-handed pitchers, but they hit them just as well. A .284/.352/.493 slash line against left-handed starters is good enough to make any opposing pitcher fear facing the Astros.
Tigers management, you are just being plain mean. You are throwing Ryan Carpenter into the lion’s den by starting him on Tuesday against the Astros. Carpenter has only started one game this year, and six games throughout his whole career, and that one start this year did not go well. Carpenter only lasted five innings in a loss to the Angels on May 9. Over those five innings, Carpenter let up six earned runs while also allowing two long balls. That was also against a much worse hitting team. The Astros hitters must be foaming at the mouth to get out there and hit against this guy.
Analysis and Prediction
Shield your kids’ eyes. This game is going to get ugly. Take the Astros on the money line at -178. This is a one of the best locks of the week, and it would take a miracle for it to not hit. However, I do like the under in this game as well at +115. I don’t see the Tigers scoring many runs. As long as the Astros don’t score all 10 runs themselves, the under is a good bet.