The Miami Marlins appear to be, once again, the punching bag in the NL East. They will be facing off against the Philadelphia Phillies today just after noon down in Florida in the final game of their four-game series with the Phils. It will be Pablo Lopez versus Zach Eflin on the bump today. Both hurlers come in struggling to this point in the season as they both bring 4+ ERAs into this game. The Marlins won the first game of this series and dropped the next two. They will be looking to split the series this afternoon.
Line – Philadelphia -170, Miami +145
Spread – Philadelphia -1.5
O/U – 7.5
First Pitch – 12:05 p.m. at Marlins Park, Miami, Florida
This Miami team has been consistently bad for a very long time. It feels like it has been 30 years since their last World Series in 2003. Derek Jeter has virtually gutted Miami of great young prospects, such as Christian Yelich, Marcell Ozuna, and JT Realmuto. This season started very slow, as usual, but the Marlins have been playing well over the last few series. They took two of three from the Nationals, split a series with the Indians, and have a chance to split with a good Phillies squad.
Over the Phillies last four games, they have only given up 10 runs. This stretch also included two shutouts. I’m not so sure this will be the case today. Eflin gets the ball today on the mound, and he has struggled mightily over the last three games. He has only struck out nine guys combined in those three starts while allowing 13 runs and five home runs. However, this lineup is still the best in baseball. If it comes down to a competition of who has the better bats, I think we all know who this matchup leans to.
Analysis & Prediction
I feel that the over/under of 7.5 is extremely low in this game. I’m going to hammer that over and I don’t think it is that close. This pitching matchup might be the worst on the slate of games for the MLB today. I feel that if you’re looking for a line to bet on in this game, that’s a toss up. The Phillies will have to really struggle today to not come away with the win. I’d stay away from everything aside from the over.
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