Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs; Preview & Best Bets: 04/23/2021

By: Hector Duran (hector_duran22), Austin Moehn (austin_moehn22), & Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)

Moneyline: MIL (+135); CHC (-155)

Run Line: MIL +1.5 (-145); CHC -1.5 (+125)

Total: 9.5; O (-110); U (-110)

First Pitch: 1:20pm CST | Wrigley Field | Chicago, IL

Austin’s Analysis & Best Bet

Chicago plays host to Milwaukee this weekend as the I-94 series is being played out for the third time in this opening month. Milwaukee has gotten the better of the season series so far in 2021, winning both of the series along with four of the previous six games. The Cubs have had a relatively underperforming start to the season, but things are looking up as they are coming off a sweep of the Mets thanks to clutch performances by Dan Winkler and Jason Heyward last night. Kyle Hendricks is scheduled to get the start for Chicago today and is hoping to bounce back after a bad performance against the Atlanta Braves on Sunday where he allowed seven runs over four innings. His only quality start in 2021 came against the Brewers back on April 7th where he threw six scoreless innings in what turned out to be a loss for Chicago. For Milwaukee, they will counter with Brett Anderson who struggled against the Cubs in his first start of the season allowing four runs and three home runs over five innings of work. He has pitched well in his other two starts of the season so it’ll be interesting to see if he can continue this recent success or will the Cubs lineup get the better of him again.

My best bet for this game is Travis Shaw to total at least 2 hits, runs, and RBI at +104. Shaw has been the main source of offensive production for the Brewers this season leading the team with 15 RBI’s while also being tied for the team lead in home runs. In his career, Shaw has five extra base hits, three of which are home runs, against Hendricks in 30 career at bats. He is a much better hitter facing right handed pitching and with him batting in the middle of the order, Shaw should have opportunities to drive in runs. Hendricks throughout his career has had the Brewers number, but this season his sinker hasn’t had the same effect it has had over the past few seasons which is the reason he has allowed five home runs in only 13 innings. This game could go to either team and it should be another good I-94 rivalry game. That being said, I’m liking this matchup for Travis Shaw and I think he’s going to have a good day.       

The Pick: Travis Shaw to total at least a combined 2 hits, runs, and RBI at +104

-Austin Moehn (@austin_moehn22)     

Hector’s Analysis & Best Bet

I will keep it short, my best bet is the under 9.5 runs.  In Hendricks’ last start, he got shelled on Sunday Night Baseball and he is too good to have back to back rough starts. The Crew will be without their star Christian Yelich as he is on the IL so they will have to lean more on guys like Travis Shaw and Luis Urias a bit more. Also, Milwaukee is coming off an off day yesterday so Craig Counsell will have his bullpen lined up for how he sees fit. The Cubs offense struggled again last night and only won thanks for some miscues from the Mets.  Having a runner on 3rd with no outs and not being able to drive the run in is a big killer.  With Anderson being a lefty, we will get to see Nico Hoerner making his first start of the season.  He has put in some serious work in the offseason so I am hoping it pays off for him and he can have some positive results.  It will be a brisk day at the ballpark so I don’t see the ball jumping out the park but I can definitely see this game going 4-2 to either team.

The Pick: Under 9.5 (-110)

-Hector Duran (@hector_duran22)

Trent’s Analysis & Best Bet 

Friday matinee baseball from Wrigley – it doesn’t get much better than that! And it’s just a beautiful day in Chicago. It’s set to be 58 degrees at game time and we’ll have some wind blowing out to left-center. Like Austin mentioned above, at this point, it seems like every week we’re getting blessed with another installation of the I-94 rivalry. I can’t complain as these are always fun games to watch.

For my best bet, I’ll be taking the under on 2.5 hits, runs, and errors in the first inning (-111) for a unit. I’ll be honest, this is pretty much a complete gamble. But like Hector said, I think Hendricks bounces back big time. Additionally, with no Yeli or LoCain for the Crew, the top of Milwaukee’s order doesn’t really strike fear into me. My only worry is that someone makes solid contact and gets a ball up in the wind.. But that’s gambling, baby. That’s the fun of it. Let’s ride and get ready for a sweat. 

The Pick: Under on 2.5 hits, runs, and errors in the 1st (-111)

-Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)

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