September 18, 2020

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Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals: Preview and Best Bet 9/15/20

By: Austin Moehn

The Cardinals and Brewers continue their five games in three days series. They split the double header yesterday with both games going down to the wire. The teams are fighting for playoff contention as the Brewers sit only a game and a half out of the wildcard while the Cardinals try to keep their spot. Brett Anderson (2-3) 4.64 ERA is set to face the Cards ace Jack Flaherty (3-1) 3.08 ERA. 

Money Line: MIL (+130) STL (-150)

Run Line: MIL +1.5 (-135) STL -1.5 (+115)

O/U: 8.5

First Pitch: 6:40 PM CT, Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI

St. Louis Cardinals (21-21)

The Cardinals struggled to score yesterday managing only one run in the first game and three in the second, however they were able to out hit the Brewers in both games. The offense has plenty of talent with bats like Paul Goldschmidt, Kolten Wong, and Paul DeJong. As a team they can get hits and get on base, ranking 16th in AVG and 5th in OBP, the problem is bringing in these runners. The Cards rank near the bottom in home runs and runs scored, but this can be attributed to them playing fewer games due to COVID-19. The offense looks to take advantage of Brett Anderson who has a 1.4 WHIP.   

Jack Flaherty comes in looking to continue his impressive season. His stats are very good with a 1.0 WHIP, 3.08 ERA, and a 9.2 K/9. The one problem has been not being able to work deep into games with only one start making it past the sixth inning. Flaherty will need to be more efficient today because of the double header yesterday.

Milwaukee Brewers (21-25) 

Since scoring nineteen runs against the Tigers last week, the offense has stuttered to a halt. They scored three runs in a three-game series against the Cubs and put up two runs in both games of the double header. Keston Hiura hit the walk off in game one yesterday but has recently struggled. Same story goes for Christian Yelich who hasn’t seen the ball well this year. The Crew has gotten to Flaherty throughout his career posting a 5.23 ERA in 68 IP. A player to watch is Ryan Braun who has a batting average of .438 with three home runs against Flaherty.

Brett Anderson gets the ball after being scratched from his start against the Cubs on Saturday because of a tight hip. The veteran has had a decent season being able to work into the middle of games, however he has allowed eight runs in his past two starts. Anderson is a pitch to contact starter who doesn’t strike many out. Instead of throwing a four-seam fastball he will use a sinker and cutter along with off-speed pitches to confuse the batters. 

Analysis and Best Bet:

The Cardinal offense can really hit the ball which is concerning for the Brewers with Anderson’s recent struggles. Paul Goldschmidt has had success against Anderson, batting almost .600 in twelve at-bats. Jack Flaherty has had problems with the Brewers in the past, but Milwaukee has struggled to score recently against pitchers not as talented as Flaherty. I like the Cards in this one. I’m taking St. Louis to cover -1.5 (+115).

Austin’s 2020 MLB Picks: (1-0 all picks are one unit) A $100 bettor has a profit of $100