By: Trent Pruitt
The Twins have rattled off four straight wins since losing back-to-back games a few days back. They once again flashed their impressive bats, blasting three homeruns including two that came from Jonathon Schoop. The southsiders will try to rebound on Thursday afternoon as they send Dylan Cease to the mound to take on Minnesota’s ace, Jose Berrios.
Money Line: MIN -180 , CHW +170
Run Line: MIN -1.5 (-120), CHW +1.5 (+100)
Over/Under: 10 (O -105, U -115)
First Pitch: 1:10 CST, Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago IL
Rocco Baldelli will give Jose Berrios the ball for Wednesday’s matinee to go for the series sweep over our beloved White Sox. Berrios has been far from the ace that this team needs, he’s given up 20 earned runs over his last 4 starts including 5 against the Tigers last time out. He has quite a bit of history against the Sox, holding them to a .233 average over 189 at-bats. It hasn’t been all negative for Berrios though considering he is the team’s ace. He’s 10-7 on the season with a 3.53 ERA.
I will continue to just throw this last line in every Sox/Twins preview I write – The Twins potent offense leads the league in homers and slugging percentage and is top five in batting average and runs scored. Simply put, these guys crush pretty much all pitching.
Chicago White Sox
Our White Sox will send rookie, Dylan Cease to the mound on Wednesday afternoon. Cease, prone to the longball, continued that trend last time out as he gave up a 3-run big fly to Willy Calhoun of the Rangers in his last start. After that first inning, he was able to settle in and not allow a run over the next five innings. I’ve said it about ten times and I’ll say it one more time, he needs to learn to limit the free passes. This Twins team will absolutely ruin your day if you give them free baserunners. Overall, he owns a 3-6 record on the year to go along with his 5.76 ERA. That ERA is inflated by the walks but it is what it is.
Analysis & Prediction
This is a tough game to call for me. The side of me that weighs probabilities always has a problem picking a team to complete a sweep, therefore I am staying away from the Twins this afternoon. With that being said, I don’t love the White Sox at all considering how inconsistent Dylan Cease has been. After reviewing some statistics, I think our best chance at cashing a ticket on get-away day is to go with the White Sox Team Total Over of 3.5 at -145 (Betonline.ag). The White Sox will be seeing Berrios for the 4th time this year, which should benefit the hitters. We’ll pair that with how shaky he has been as of late and that gives us our best play this afternoon.
Trent’s Record on White Sox Free Picks
35-26-3 (+10.94 Units). A $100 bettor is up $1,094 on the MLB Season.
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