By: Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)
The Seahawks will make the coast-to-coast trip where they’ll take on the Eagles for another edition of Monday Night Football! The Seahawks hold sole possession of first place in the NFC West thanks to the 49ers defeating the Rams on Sunday afternoon. The Eagles, on the other hand, are right in the thick of the playoff race themselves, only 0.5 games back of the “Football Team” and the Giants in the lackluster NFC East. But hey, at least they’re still in striking distance for a Division Title! Let’s get into the stats, rosters, trends, and the form of each team and look for what our best bet will be tonight!
Spread: SEA -6.5 (-105)
Money Line: SEA -275, PHI +230
Total: 49 (O -105, U -115)
Kickoff: 8:15 ET, Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Pete Carroll’s Seahawks are 7-3 and looking to extend their lead in the NFC West tonight. They have a very favorable schedule down the stretch and it’s looking more and more likely that they will be crowned the Champs of the West. An overview from 30,000 feet shows that Seattle has the 2nd best offense in the NFL, averaging 31.8 points per game while their defense has been the main issue, allowing 28.7 points per contest.
Let’s start with this dreaded defense that has allowed the most yards and first downs in the league. It’s really all on their secondary which has been shredded for 3,437 yards on the season (32nd). Relative to the beginning of the season, they’ve looked decent in the last two games and that’s likely because Jamal Adams is back from his injury. This guy is a game changer and flies around the field. Another one of the minimal strengths of this defense is their run game, which is surprisingly 4th in terms of yards (912). They held the number one rushing offense in Arizona to just 57 yards on the ground in their last outing, which was a 28-21 win.
Offensively, this is one of the more dynamic offenses in the league with Russell Wilson at the helm. The Seahawks offensive unit is 4th in yards gained (4,000) and they aren’t too reliant on the pass or run game. They’re 5th in passing yards (2,787) and 10th in rushing (1,213) and the spike in rushing yards is 100% because of Wilson. He actually leads the team with 367 yards on the ground which is partly because Chris Carson has been bit by the injury bug throughout the season and has only played six games. Out wide, it’s the deadly duo of Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf who’ve combined for 115 catches and 1,610 yards through the first ten games. The Wilson/Lockett neurological link (or whatever you want to call it) has to be up there with the best we’ve seen in recent history. The only other duo that is this much in tandem and fun to watch in the scramble drill would be Rodgers/Adams.
I’m amazed at the NFC East this season. Somehow, even with a pretty tough schedule down the stretch (minus their two divisional games), the Eagles are +185 favorites to win the East. It could very well come down to the home matchup with the “Football Team” at the end of the season. As for the season as a whole, the Eagles are 24th in points per game (22.0) and 16th in points against (25.4).
Carson Wentz is the man under center and who knows for how long after reports came out that Jalen Hurts had some first team reps this week. Wentz has thrown for a 14/14 TD/INT ratio this season and has put the ball on the turf 10 times. He leads the league in both interceptions and fumbles and on top of that, he’s only completing 58.4% of his passes. Now, I know this team is dominant but I’m still waiting for them to turn it up because I feel like they are a lot better than what is reflected from their on-field play. Miles Sanders is the rushing leader for the Eagles with 585 yards and is picking up 5.7 yards per attempt.
Defensively, the Eagles are 10th in yards against and have excelled against the pass. They have some dogs up front that can get after opposing quarterbacks. Their struggles come against the run where they are 26th against the run in terms of yards.
Final Analysis & Best Bet
As for my best bet in this game, I’m going to ride the over on 49 points. It really comes down to a few key statistics that’s going to see a lot of scoring in this game. For starters, something that’s intangible, both of these coaches are pretty creative so I think if the Eagles want to hang and have a chance to ultimately win, they’re going to break out some trickery and really open up the playbook. Despite Wentz being terrible, they’re going to be able to move the ball against the Seahawks, to an extent. On the flip side, one thing that’s almost certain is that Russell Wilson and this offense is going to ball out. I think the fact that Seattle turned the ball over 10 times over four games was an anomaly. They didn’t turn it over against the Cardinals and coming off the bye week, I think Pete Carroll is going to have a gameplan to pick apart this secondary and make the field look really large.
Finally, the Seahawks are second in the NFL in red zone efficiency on the offensive side of the ball, scoring touchdowns on 77.8% on their trips. Defensively, they’re 28th, only stopping opponents 30.0% of the time. Obviously capitalizing on red zone trips is huge when looking at over/unders and I think we’re going to see a high percentage of touchdowns in the red zone tonight. Good luck! I’ll say this one finishes with a final score of 34-23 in favor of the Seahawks.
For more sports betting talk, follow me on Twitter: @trentbets