All right, here’s a matchup I’ve been waiting to cover all year: Mets at Marlins. Does anybody outside of New York and Miami actually care about this game? That question isn’t entirely fair, though; I root for teams out of state, even when they’re not playing well. Still, I feel for the people who have a stake in either of these teams, as neither looks to be headed in a good direction. Even if their seasons are a pain to follow, there is still one way we can get some enjoyment out the game—betting!
Moneyline – NYM -225, MIA +200
Runline – NYM -1.5 (-125), MIA +1.5 (+215)
O/U – +6.5 (-105)
First Pitch – 7:10 PM ET, Marlins Park, Miami, FL
The Mets seem to be the embodiment of mediocre. 20th in the majors with a 4.52 ERA and 15th with a .248 BA, third place in a tough NL East division, and not looking like they’ll make a splash one way or the other anytime soon, the Mets are in a tough spot. However, one (extremely) bright spot for the Mets is on the mound tonight in Jacob DeGrom (3-4, 3.26). Let’s see if DeGrom can protect his average team from a collapse against the Marlins.
I just read this tweet from Tim Kurkjian: “The Marlins are the first team in major league history to have no more than 10 victories and at least nine shutout losses in their first 41 games of the season.” Ignoring the grating specificity of Kurkjian’s statistic, it really is incredible just how historically helpless the Marlins have been this season. They don’t have a single guy hitting over .300 and their starters are a combined 7-21. I wonder if Jeter is having second thoughts about his new franchise. The rest of the league certainly is, and it likely won’t get any better with Trevor Richards on the rubber, who has yet to win a game this year.
Analysis & Prediction
After that glowing endorsement, it’s tough to pick the Marlins to win any given game this year. It gets even tougher with a defending Cy Young winner on the mound. Trevor Richards (0-5, 4.46 ERA) tries to win his first game of the year, but he’ll be dueling DeGrom. I’ll take the Mets in this one and the over, as New York looks to prey on a struggling Richards.