By: Hector Duran & Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)
The reigning Super Bowl Champs look to defend their title in 2021 and their first test will be the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland knocked off Pittsburgh last week at Heinz Field yet the oddsmakers still have the Chiefs as a double-digit favorite. Hector and I each have action on this game so let’s dive into the stats and trends and get our best bets!
Spread: CLE +10 (-115) | KC -10 (-105)
Money Line: CLE (+395) | KC (-500)
Total: 57.5 (O -110, U -110)
Kickoff: 3:05 ET | Arrowhead Stadium | Kansas City, MO
Trent’s Best Bet
I can’t believe I’m laying over a touchdown, but I’m rolling with the Chiefs on Sunday afternoon. Give me Kansas City -10 (-105) for a unit. I think the Chiefs are so good that they just got bored during the season and that was why they ended up only 7-9 against the spread. This team is full of talent and they’re stacking up against one of the worst pass defenses in the league. The Browns allowed the 22nd most passing yards during the regular season and they’ll face off against Patty Mahomes, who threw for the second most passing yards (4,740) in only 15 games. I hate to rag on Cleveland after they finally got their first playoff win of the millennium, but last week was a fluke… or a gift… or whatever you want to call it. Remember, Andy Reid is basically a cheat code after the bye. He moved to 19-3 (straight up) after their win against the Raiders in week 11 of this year. I could get into more technical stuff like 3rd down efficiency numbers and average points per possession, but I won’t bore you with the numbers. Chiefs will get it done handedly on Sunday.
Hector’s Best Bet
Like Trent said, it is tough to go against Andy Reid when his squad is coming off a bye week, regardless if it’s in the regular season or the playoffs. I can see the Chiefs firing on all cylinders on all phases of the ball. With Patrick Mahomes at the helm, his favorite target is Tyreek Hill. For my best bet, I am locking in over 76.5 (-115) receiving yards for Tyreek Hill. Hill has caught more than 76.5 yards in 8 of the 15 games he has played this year and we know he is capable of hauling in the deep ball and using his speed to get into the open field. Trent also touched on it, but this Browns pass defense will have their hands full trying to contain all of the weapons on offense which should give them fits. Also, the Chiefs will be more reliant on the pass game as their running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire is coming back from injury. With him not being 100%, he will be limited in his carries after missing some time. This should be a good game, but my eyes will be on Tyreek Hill and this Chiefs passing attack.
Other Divisional Round Previews & Best Bets
4:35 ET: Los Angeles Rams vs. Green Bay Packers (coming soon)
8:15 ET: Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills (coming soon)