January 25, 2021

Lynq Sports

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NFL Wild Card: Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints: Staff Predictions and Best Bets – 1/10/2021

By: Jay Patel (@jpatel2444) & Trent Pruitt (@trentbets

Believe it, Bears playoff football is here. Who would’ve thought after enduring a six-game losing streak (after starting 5-1), this same Chicago Bears team would be in the playoffs. The playoffs can get wild, we’ve seen it before. Mitchell Trubisky has been here once before. Meanwhile veteran Drew Brees has been here plenty of times. In his potentially last season before retirement, can Brees end the Saints recent playoff misfortunes? Or will Mitchell Trubisky silence the doubters and add to what has been his turnaround season? 

Spread: CHI +10 (-115) | NO -10 (-105)

Money Line: CHI (+350) | NO (-500)

Total: 47 (O -110, U -110)

Kickoff: 4:40 ET | Mercedes-Benz Superdome | New Orleans, LA

Jay’s Best Prop Bet

It’s not like the outside chatter is immune to the Bears. They know they’re considered big underdogs and nobody’s giving them a chance. Bears players know what’s at stake. The offense has improved, and if they can put together long drives similar to the Packers game, it can wear down the Saints defense. Now, the Saints defense is good, and they are going to get pressure on QB Mitchell Trubisky. When Mitch uses his legs, it changes things. I love the over on Mitchell Trubisky rush yards of 14.5 (-114). He doesn’t run as often as he should, but when Cameron Jordan and Trey Hendrickson are on the opposing pass rush, we’ll see Mitch turn on the jets more often.

Trubisky can change the game with his running ability

Jay’s Best Bet (Game Outcome) 

In terms of the game outcome, it really depends on which offense and defense of the Bears we see. Now, the Bears are banged up (Darnell Mooney, Roquan Smith, Buster Skrine, etc.) but we saw the offense make major strides last week. Even the defense made a couple stops. Had it been one TD instead of a FG, who knows what could’ve happened in that Green Bay game. Moving forward to the Saints, this team is loaded. Alvin Kamara is back, Michael Thomas looks to be ready to go, and this defense is talented. There’s no doubt in my mind that the Saints will put up points against a Bears defense that has declined. Since 2018, the Bears defense hasn’t been the same. Less sacks, less takeaways, less pressure, less stops. The Bears D allows a modest 23.1 PPG, but it’s been a downhill ride. Now, the Saints D allows 21.1 PPG, so it’s not too far apart from Chicago. We’ll have to see how Trubisky handles the Saints D. The first time these two teams played, they scored 49 points with Taysom Hill and Nick Foles starting. This time, it’s Brees vs. Trubisky. I’m taking the over on 47 points (-110) as it will come down to which defense makes a clutch stop. 

Jay’s Bears Picks Record: 11-5

Trent’s Best Prop Bet

It’s straight up disrespectful the way the oddsmakers are treating the Bears in this one. While I fully expect the Saints to win and advance, I found what I think is the closest thing to a steal on the prop sheet. I’m taking the over on 0.5 Bears points in the first quarter (-130). Even though the Bears offense isn’t very good, it’s still worth the shot if there is a turnover in Saints territory, a big special teams play, or if the Bears actually put a good drive together early on. All they have to do is reach the New Orleans’ 37-yard line to get a shot at a field goal. Cairo Santos has been money this season too (knock on wood). Lock this one in and let’s sit back and hopefully the Bears can pull off a miracle. 

Bears K Cairo Santos was named NFC Special Teams Player of the Month

Other NFL Wild Card Previews & Best Bets 

1/9/21

Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills: 1:05 ET

Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks: 4:40 ET

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Washington Football Team: 8:15 ET

1/10/21

Baltimore Ravens vs. Tennessee Titans: 1:05 ET

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: 8:15 ET