October 21, 2020

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NLCS Game 3: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: Analysis & Best Bets – 10/14/20

By: Jack O’Keefe & Trent Pruitt

The Braves were able to fend off a late resurgence from the Dodgers last night and picked up the win, making the series 2-0 in their favor. Dave Roberts will give the lefty, Julio Urias the nod to try and get this series back under control while Brian Snitker will turn to Kyle Wright to try and push this series to the brink. The bookmakers are favoring the Dodgers heavily in this one and you could argue that that’s the right call considering Urias has yet to give up an earned run over 8.0 IP in the 2020 postseason. Let’s dive into this one as Jack and I look to hit a couple of winning picks tonight. 

Money Line: LAD -184, ATL +169

Run Line: LAD -1.5 (-125), ATL +1.5 (+105)

Total: 9.5 (O -125, U +105)

First Pitch: 5:05 CST, Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Trent’s Analysis & Best Bet

Urias will make his second career postseason start and this is likely the most important start of his young career. The lefty has been excellent this postseason as I mentioned in the intro. He’s punched out 11 batters and allowed just four hits and one free pass over those 8.0 IP. As for head to head stats, he’s only faced Atlanta twice in his career, picking up saves in both outings in 2019. Acuna is 0-3, Albies 0-0 with a BB, Freeman 0-2, and Markakis 0-1. The current Braves roster is 0-10 with two BB’s. 

Although it’s a small sample size, he has a successful track record against the Braves and I’ll pair that with the Dodgers having their backs against the wall; give me the Dodgers tonight on the money line for a unit (-184). The best regular season baseball team will salvage a game tonight and I think this series is far from over, despite being 2-0 already. Not to get ahead of ourselves, but Clayton Kershaw should get the ball tomorrow night and Los Angeles will look to even the series up. 

-Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)

Jack’s Analysis & Best Bet

Coming soon.

-Jack O’Keefe (@jpokeefe1s)

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