April 17, 2021

Lynq Sports

bet on it

Opening Week: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs; Preview & Best Bets: 04/07/2021

By: Hector Duran (hector_duran22) & Trent Pruitt (trentbets

Moneyline: MIL (-105); CHC (-105)

Run Line: MIL +1.5 (-200); CHC (+170)

Total: 9; O (-110); U (-105)

First Pitch: 1:20pm CST | Wrigley Field | Chicago, IL

It’s getaway day for both clubs as they will hit the road after this game. The rubber match will feature both aces so we should be in for a good game today.  It will be Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs and Brandon Woodruff for Milwaukee. With today being a day game after a night game, we may get some lineup changes that we are normally accustomed to seeing. Trent and I will keep this one short and sweet since the game will start in just a few hours.

Hector’s Analysis & Best Bet

It was a tough night for the Cubs bats last night as they were only able to muster up 1 measly hit thanks to a Kris Bryant double down the left field line.  The offense looked the same (not great) as last season and they have struggled for the most part this season. With the Crew’s ace on the bump today, I don’t think it will get much better.  For my best bet, I am taking over 6.5 strikeouts for Brandon Woodruff at -125.  Woodruff, in his last start only went 4 innings on 78 pitches but he managed to fan 5 Twin hitters. I think Craig Counsell will ride out his ace and if Woodruff can go at least 6 innings, he should not have a problem getting 7 strikeouts. In his last start against the Cubs on September 11, 2020, he managed to fan 12 Cubs hitters in 7 innings.  With the Cubs offense out of sync, I just don’t see them getting back on track against one of the better pitchers in the league. 

The Pick: Brandon Woodruff over 6.5 strikeouts (-125)

-Hector Duran (@hector_duran22

Trent’s Analysis & Best Bet

70 degrees and overcast from the Friendly Confines this afternoon as we gear up for a rubber match between two aces. What more can you ask for? Maybe a couple of winning tickets? I can help you with that. Initially the under had my eye but with the wind set to be blowing out at 12 mph to left field, I’m going to stay away from that. Instead, I’ll be taking the Brewers money line (-105) for a unit. Aside from Joc Pederson (3-3 w/ 2 HR), this Cubs roster has struggled against Brandon Woodruff. Here’s how it stacks up: Baez: 1-10, Bote 1-5, Bryant 2-13, Contreres 1-8, Heyward 2-12, Happ 2-8 and Rizzo 2-12. This current roster has only accumulated four extra base hits off of the righty over 77 AB’s. And Craig Counsell still has Devin Williams and Josh Hader fresh and available. I really believe the Brewers are the better team (although not by much) and with Kyle Hendricks not having his best stuff on Opening Day against the Pirates, I think this lineup will be able to put up enough runs to get it done. 

The Pick: Brewers Money Line (-105)

-Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)