Moneyline: MIL (-105); CHC (-115)
Run Line: MIL +1.5 (-190); CHC (+165)
Total: 9.5; O (-115); U (-105)
First Pitch: 6:40pm CST | Wrigley Field | Chicago, IL
After taking 2 out of 3 against the Pirates, the Cubs will continue the homestand as the Milwaukee Brewers come into town for 3 games for the battle of I-94. Another Cubs starter will make his team debut and this time, it will be Trevor Williams. Milwaukee will send out Brett Anderson as the Crew look to bounce back after dropping 2 of 3 to the Twins. Trent and I (Hector) will be posted up in the right field bleachers for this game and with Austin being a Brewers fan, we are going to have a quartet of bets for you guys.
Hector’s Analysis & Best Bet
It was good to see the Cubs take care of business against the Pirates- those are games that should be won. In this game, the Cubs will see lefty Brett Anderson who had some decent numbers in spring training. Both offenses have scuffled out the gate this first weekend so adjustments will have to be made if they want to muster up some more runs. I was digging through the stats for the matchup and Ian Happ is 2-2 off Anderson thus far in his young career. Although Happ only has one hit so far this season, he connected on a leadoff home run yesterday so he may be heating up now. For my best bet, I am going to take Ian Happ to record at least 3 hits, runs, and RBI’s at +150. One home run from Happ and we at least push but I like this plus money bet. With Happ being at the top of the batting order, he should get that extra at-bat or 2 that may cash it. Not exactly sure what the weather will be like at first pitch but if the wind is blowing out, this bet may cash in the 3rd inning.
The Pick: Ian Happ at least 3 H,R,RBI (+150)
-Hector Duran (@hector_duran22)
Austin’s Analysis & Best Bet
I’m not going to sugar coat it, Milwaukee’s offense has looked pretty bad so far this season. Very similarly to 2020, the Crew hasn’t been putting the ball in play striking out 36 times in their three game series against the Twins. The problems could continue to start off this series because Cubs starter Trevor Williams historically has been good against the Brewers and with how the Milwaukee bats are swinging right now, I can see the Brewers once again failing to generate offense. The Cubs offense hasn’t been lighting the world on fire either and much like the Brewers, they have high strikeout amounts at 32 in only three games. Chicago will be facing verteran Brett Anderson who has had good career stats against the Cubs in a small sample size.
My best bet for this game is the under 9.5 (-105). Both teams have seen very little success offensively in their first series of the season and with how the starting pitchers for this game have good track records against the opposing teams, this one should remain low scoring. Williams and Anderson had good Spring Training stats which is good to see but that doesn’t always translate into success in the regular season. Another noteworthy factor in the game is both teams’ bullpens have been pretty good to start of 2021. The bullpens each have a handful of strikeout oriented pitchers which could mean that once the game hits the 6th or 7th, we will be seeing a lot of walks back to the dugout due to the inability of putting the ball in play from the lineups. I’m taking the under in this one.
The Pick: Under 9.5 (-105)
-Austin Moehn (@austin_moehn22)
Trent’s Analysis & Best Bet
For starters, I’m thrilled to be back at the ballpark tonight! The weather is supposed to be around 65-70 and we’ll be catching the sunset from the right field bleachers with this 6:40 start. It’s going to be electric. And not too mention, we aren’t exactly getting the cream of the crop when it comes to pitching so I’ll definitely be ready to catch a longball out in right.
As for the game, I’m taking it to the prop sheet and I have a few bets I want to lock in. Initially I was looking at some player props for the Cubs but I was quickly scared away considering Craig Counsell has both Devin Williams and Josh Hader fresh and at his disposal tonight. You don’t want your bet coming down to the wire when you have one of those two guys staring you down from 60.2 feet. So I’m going to flip it over to #MyCrew and check out some of their props. Initially, it must be said, Trevor Williams is not very good. And particularly at Wrigley. I’m a fan of the Pirates so I’ve seen this guy get shelled time and time again at the Friendly Confines. Opponents, which are his new teammates, have an OPS north of 1.000 at Wrigley. While you shouldn’t make your whole bet based off of the ballpark, especially when the guys that’ve done all of the damage are now in his dugout, it’s definitely worth mentioning that he’s struggled in this hitter’s park. I’m going to take Keston Hiura to have at least 2 hits, runs, and RBI’s (+100) for a unit. Hiura is 0-11 to start the new campaign which makes me a little nervous, but if there is a guy who he can get it going against, it’s T-Will. Keston’s 4-7 against Williams with three homers and a double which translates to 2.625 OPS. I’m also going to lock in the same bet for Kolten Wong. It’s Kolten Wong to record at least 2 hits, runs, or RBI’s at (-112) and I’ll be playing that for a unit. Wong is the leadoff man for Milwaukee so he’ll see plenty of at-bats tonight. He’s 7-18 with a bomb off of Williams. And hey, maybe we’ll get blessed with a leadoff single from Wong and a homerun from Hiura and we’ll cash both tickets in the first inning!
The Pick: Keston Hiura at least 2 H,R,RBI (+100) & Kolten Wong at least 2 H,R,RBI (-112)
-Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)
Trent’s MLB Betting Record
2021 MLB Season: 3-3 (-1.95 units). A $100 bettor has lost $195 this MLB szn.