Our MLB Team’s Wild Card Best Bets & Analysis – 10/1/20

By: Lynq Sports MLB Staff

Five postseason games will take place on Thursday and we’ve got you covered if you’re looking for some action! Check in with our MLB experts as they give their top bets of the day. We’ll be adding to this article throughout the day so check back for some winners!

Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs

Money Line: MIA (+170) CHC (-185), Total: 7 (O +100, U -120)

First Pitch: 1:00 CST, Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

It was an all-around awful game for the Chicago Cubs after a  5-1 defeat in Game 1 to the surging Marlins. No offense aside from a Happ solo shot, and Kyle Hendricks surrendered a critical 3-run homer to Corey Dickerson in the 7th inning. Jesus Aguilar clubbed another homer that inning, creating concern for a Cubbies team on the brink of elimination. However, the Cubs have come back several times before, and this time is no different. Stud Yu Darvish takes the mound, trying to save the Cubs season. For the Marlins, young flamethrower Sixto Sanchez is on the hill. Similar to Sandy Alcantara, Sanchez has electric stuff. I’m expecting another pitcher’s duel, but Darvish will take control of this must-win game. I’m backing the Cubbies once again on the money line at -185 for one unit. 

-Jay Patel (@jpatel2444)

Chicago White Sox vs. Oakland Athletics

Money Line: CWS (-108) OAK (-102), Total: 8.5 (O -120, U +100)

First Pitch: 2:00 CST, RingCental Coliseum, Oakland, CA

Finally the skippers announced the starters for this game. We all had an idea that it would be Dunning for the Sox and probably Fiers for the Athletics, but for whatever reason Rick Renteria and Bob Melvin kept us waiting. I must say, I’m surprised that the line is what it is, I expected the A’s to be about -120ish with how well Fiers has thrown against the White Sox in his career. He’s 4-0 with a 1.58 ERA and currently holds the Sox to 14.2 scoreless innings.

I think you have to continue to ride the under in this series. It’s been the right move for the first two games, despite getting “back-doored” in yesterday’s game. The oddsmakers are expecting a slugfest but I don’t think they’re going to get it. We all know the Sox struggle with good RHP and Dane Dunning is no slouch either. Dunning is a competitor, you can already tell that throughout his shortened rookie season. Rick Renteria also has the big guns available in the bullpen and Bob Melvin has everyone except probably Liam Hendriks. So the official play is to back the under 8.5 (+100) for a unit. Take the under in what’s going to be a grind-it-out, all hands on deck, low scoring playoff affair! Strap it in folks for do or die baseball.

-Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)

Here we go! Winner takes all, this game should be a fun one. We had to wait a while to know who was starting for each respective team, but we now know Dane Dunning and Mike Fiers will get the nod. I am surprised to see Fiers and not Sean Manaea, but I trust in Bob Melvin’s judgement. Fiers has a 4.09 ERA in the month of September, and the A’s are 2-2 in games started by Fiers last month. Fiers has a 6.20 ERA at home, so I foresee the A’s going to the pen early in this one. On the flip side, Dane Dunning has a 4.38 ERA in the month of September, and the White Sox are 4-1 on games that Dunning has started. With the total runs at 8.5, it looks like we can be in for a high-scoring affair. I think the White Sox have more danger with their bats, so I’ll take the White Sox ML (-108) in this key game.

-Jack O’Keefe

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres

Money Line: SD (-155) STL (+143), Total: 9 (O +100, U -120)

First Pitch: 6:00 CST, Petco Park, San Diego, CA

There’s blood in the water and the Cards smell it (or taste it or however sharks navigate that kind of thing). I’m backing the Cardinals as underdogs for a unit at +143! Once the news broke that Clevinger and Lamet were not available this whole series shifted. Of course the Padres are still a great hitting team but it seems like the wind was sucked out of Padre Nation once that was announced. I think Wainwright’s postseason experience will be the difference here and this team as a whole has a lot of maturity and playoff experience. MLB states, “He owns a career 2.81 ERA across 105 2/3 postseason innings.”

Zach Davies will go for San Diego and he’s a solid starter but the Cards have good numbers. Matt Carpenter is 12-25, Molina 7-21, Goldy 4-10, & Harrison Bader 3-3. Plus, the Padres burned through their bullpen last night after Paddack only went 2.1 IP. 

-Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Money Line: LAD (-227) MIL (+205), Total: 7 (O -120, U +100)

First Pitch: 9:08 CST, Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA

Don’t get fooled by the “Big Name Factor” here, Clayton Kershaw is terrible in the postseason. His ERA is 4.43 over 32 games allowing a 7.4 H/9 and 1.4 HR/9 – yikes. The oddsmakers think this is going to be a low scoring affair but I don’t buy it at all. For starters, the Dodgers offense speaks for itself – they’re really solid. There’s no doubt in my mind that they’ll hold up their end of the bargain against Brandon Woodruff, who has historically been less stable on the road vs. at home. 

The bet here is the over on 15.5 hits (+103). 1) Kershaw is bad in the playoffs. 2) The Brewers have great numbers against the lefty. Yelich is 9-18 with two bombs, Garcia is 4-4, Arcia is 2-6, and Braun is 11-41. 3) the Dodgers offense is legit. They led the league with 118 bombs and the same in runs with 349. I think we’re going to get quite a bit of hits this game so I’m comfortable with putting a unit on this one. 

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-Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)

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