Last night featured the return of Jake Arrieta to Wrigley Field. It was the first time pitching in Wrigley as a visitor and the last of the 30 MLB teams he has faced. He squared up against Yu Darvish with both pitchers pitching well until Darvish got into some trouble in the 6th inning giving up 3 runs. The Cubs were able to answer by scoring on a 2 run little league home run (triple and a throwing error) by Daniel Descalso in the 8th inning. The Phillies countered by getting weak contact and eventually pushing a run across in the 9th and having the big blow be a go-ahead home run by J.T. Realmuto in the 10th inning.
Line – Phillies; +128; Cubs -134;
Spread – Phillies +1.5 (-170), Cubs (-1.5 +160)
O/U – 8; Over (-110); Under (-110)
First Pitch – 6:05pm CT @ Wrigley Field; Chicago, IL
The Phillies are on a 4-game winning streak as they send out right-hander Zach Eflin who has a 5-4 record with a 2.89 ERA. He got bounced around in his last start giving up 4 earned runs in 5 innings against the Brewers but in his previous start against the Royals, he threw a 4 hit shutout. The Phillies have a 2.5 game lead over the Braves for first place and they look to stay hot. The Phillies come into this game batting .267 against ground ball pitchers versus a .226 clip against fly ball pitchers.
Jose Quintana will take the ball for the north siders today who comes in with a 4-3 record and a 3.68 ERA. He has scuffled lately giving up 8 earned runs in his last 17.2 innings pitched. He looks to get back on track today against the first place Phillies. The Cubs are 27-18 and are only 1 game up on the Brewers for 1st place. Though a small sample size, 4 Cubs players have a .250 or above batting average against Eflin so look for them to have some success tonight.
Analysis and Prediction
Look for Javy Baez and Willson Contreras to be back in the lineup today. Javy sat out last night’s game with a sore heel suffered from Sunday’s game. These two should give the Cubs offense some extra power and should lead the Cubs back into the W column. The wind will be blowing in and it will be in the upper 40s or low 50s so the offenses might struggle to muster up some runs. Go ahead and roll with the under in this one.