It seems that the Colorado Rockies are the Minnesota Twins of the National League. One year they’re good, the next, trash. Trash may be too harsh, but the Rockies have not been living up to expectations after making it to the NLDS last season. On the other hand, the San Diego Padres are finally not a dumpster fire. So, this game should be fun.
Money Line – San Diego Padres +140, Colorado Rockies -150
Run Line – San Diego Padres +1.5 (-143), Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+130)
Over/Under – 10 (O -120, U +100)
First Pitch – 7:40 p.m. CST Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
San Diego Padres
Since the 2015 season, the San Diego Padres have finished either last or second to last in the division every year. It seems that the streak may be coming to an end. Currently sitting third in the division, with a record over .500 as well, the Padres are finally turning the rebuild around. One of the biggest reasons for this, as much as it hurts the White Sox fan in me to say, is because they signed Manny Machado to a huge deal in the offseason. While Machado is hitting a measly .237 on the year, he does have eight homeruns. His slash line of .237/.316/.432 is respectable. It should be better though.
The Padres have also played extremely well on the road at 11-6 compared to 10-11 record at home. Tasked with keeping the road record stellar is Eric Lauer. Lauer is currently sitting at 2-3 with a 4.30 ERA on the year. Not terrible, but also not good. He also has to pitch at Coors Field which isn’t pitcher friendly. I mean no pitcher is going to wake up and say, “God, I love pitching at a place where the air is thin, the ball travels farther and everyone there is high.”
Rockies fans hate to see the team face left-handed starters. A team slash line of .225/.278/.401 against lefties is bad. Their slugging percentage will always be inflated a little since they play half their games in Colorado, but only getting on base .278 of the time is not good. At least their extension of Nolan Arenado seems to be working out. Hitting a team-best .310 with nine homeruns and 27 RBI’s just proves that Arenado is the best player on this team.
24-year-old German Marquez gets the nod for Friday’s game. The youngster is pitching well so far this year with a 3.46 ERA over a team-leading 52 innings pitched. He also struck out 52 batters this season, so Padres hitters need to worry.
Analysis and Prediction
The Padres being +140 in this game has to be a trick. Yes, the Rockies do have a better pitcher on the mound, but the Padres are a good road team. They are also coming off a series win against the Mets. I like the Padres in this game on the money line at +140.