October 21, 2020

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San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners: Preview & Best Bet – 9/17/20

By: Jack O’Keefe

The A’s are off today, so this means I will bounce around and pick another game to cover in the baseball world for Thursday. We were expecting a low scoring game in Coors Field Wednesday, and we received just that with a 3-1 Athletics victory. We will turn our attention to a showdown in the bay featuring the San Francisco Giants and Seattle Mariners this afternoon. The Mariners are technically “home” in this game, as it is a makeup game from two days ago. Tyler Anderson gets the ball for San Francisco and Nick Margevicius gets the ball for Seattle. What can we expect from this Thursday matinee? Read below to find out!

Money Line: SF -140, SEA +120

Run Line: SF -1.5 (+115), SEA +1.5 (-135)

Total: 9.0 (O -120, U EVEN)

First Pitch: 3:10 PM CST, Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA

San Francisco Giants (24-24)

The Giants are holding on to the eighth and final playoff spot in the National League for dear life. With the Cardinals, Brewers, and even Colorado all making a last-minute push for the postseason, the margin of error is razor thin for San Francisco. After winning five in a row, the Giants dropped three in a row against the Padres, before picking up a win last night against the Mariners. Drew Smyly got the start last night for the Giants, his first appearance since a sprained index finger kept him on the shelf since August 1st. He went 3.2 innings, allowed four hits, three earned runs and struck out eight batters. Not a bad first start back in over a month since he last pitched. The Giants were scoring early and often in last night’s ballgame. Donovan Solano got San Francisco on the board with an RBI single in the first inning. Mauricio Dubon picked up an RBI single in the second inning. Brandon Belt belted (sorry, just had to do it) a two-run shot in the third inning. Evan Longoria connected on a solo shot in the third inning. Mike Yastrzemski knocked in a run on a double in the fourth inning. Alex Dickerson knocked in a run in the fourth inning then later came around to score on a passed ball. The Giants were up 8-0 in the fourth at this point, putting the game very much out of reach for Seattle. The Mariners did string together three runs in the bottom of the fourth inning, but that was all they were able to generate offensively for the evening. Tyler Anderson will look to win back-to-back games for the first time this season on Thursday. He faced this Seattle team last Wednesday at home, where he went six innings, allowed three hits, no earned runs and struck out four batters on the day. Anderson has been much better pitching at home than on the road this season for San Francisco. He has a 2-1 record at home with a 1.82 ERA, opposed to an 0-2 record and 7.59 ERA on the road.

Seattle Mariners (22-27)

You kind of had a feeling that Seattle would be coming into this game running on fumes. The Mariners did not depart for this game until Wednesday, yes, the day of the game, at 10 AM from Seattle. The team arrived at Oracle Park just a few hours before first pitch, so it was a very quick turnaround for the Mariners ball club. Honestly, it shows too last night. The Mariners pitching allowed 15 hits from the Giants while the Mariners struck out 17 times against the San Francisco pitching staff. They were simply outworked on both sides of the ball. Ljay Newsome started the game for the Mariners yesterday, and the Giants teed off on the right-hander. Newsome went three innings, allowed eight hits, five earned runs and struck out one batter on the day. Luis Torrens, acquired in the Austin Nola trade, got the Mariners on the board yesterday with an RBI double in the fourth inning. Phillip Ervin drew a walk that drove in a run, as did JP Crawford in the fourth inning. This was the only scoring generated by the Mariners all night, just the three runs in the fourth. Casey Sadler was the lone bright spot worth highlighting in the Mariners pitching arsenal used last night. The veteran right-hander went 2.2 innings, allowed no hits and struck out five batters. The American League Rookie of the Year candidate, Kyle Lewis, was 2 for 5 last night at the dish. His batting average on the season is just a touch below .300 (.298), along with 10 homeruns and 27 RBIs. Nick Margevicius gets the ball for the Mariners, and he will look for a redemption opportunity to make up for the shellacking he took at San Francisco last outing. The southpaw was touched for seven runs on six hits during his last outing. The Mariners are 1-4 on games started by Margevicius this season.   

Analysis and Prediction:

I feel like the Mariners will be much sharper today after having a little more time to recover from all the travel. I do not trust Nick Margevicius at all to silence the San Francisco bats. My lean for this game would be the over given how potent Seattle has been offensively over the last few games. The Mariners are 8-2 on the over in their last 10 games. I think the last outing for both these pitchers though makes this one an obvious pick. Tyler Anderson was exponentially better than Nick Margevicius when they faced each other last Wednesday. You know the old adage, “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.” I am going to take the Giants ML (-140) for the best bet in today’s matinee.

Jack’s 2020 MLB picks: (23-16; all picks are one unit) A $100 bettor has a profit of $328