By: Jay Patel
Spread: Green Bay Packers (-8.5)
Money Line: CHI (+340) GB (-420)
Kick-Off: 7:20 PM CT
He’s back. Mitchell Trubisky returns as the Bears starting QB after Nick Foles injury keeps him sidelined. This will be Trubisky’s first start since Week 3. Meanwhile, the Green Bay Packers are in the driver’s seat of the NFC North, but the division lead could take a big hit with a loss to the Bears. Green Bay is coming off a tough OT loss to the Colts while the Bears are back on the field after their bye week. It doesn’t get much better than this. The rivalry continues on Sunday Night Football.
Mitchell Trubisky gives the Bears the best chance to win. He’s more mobile, and has put up better numbers. I know Bears fans are excited to see the former No. 2 pick running the offense again. Chicago’s offense has been absolutely abysmal, averaging 19.1 points per game. Hopefully that can change tonight. Trubisky has good chemistry with receivers Allen Robinson and Anthony Miller, and I’d like to see Miller get more involved on the offense. That is one of the keys in tonight’s game, here are the others:
Keys to the Game:
- Run, Mitch, Run: With a below-average O-Line, Foles was constantly under pressure and unable to escape the pocket. The story is different for Trubisky as he uses his legs to escape a collapsing pocket. If Mitch runs, that will give the Bears offense a dimension they haven’t seen in weeks.
- Stop the Rodgers-Adams Connection: We know that Davante Adams is Aaron Rodgers favorite target. Adams has 847 receiving yards along with 10 TDs and he even missed time with an injury. The Bears D has been able to limit the damage against big-time players, and they’ll have to do it once again tonight.
- Put Together Drives: I don’t care if the Bears put together a 10-play drive that only gets them three points. The offense needs to put together drives to wear out Green Bay’s defense and allow ours to rest. Most of Chicago’s games have been the Bears D trying to limit the damage (which they do). The Bears offense needs to control the tempo of the game, increase time of possession, and keep the defense on their toes.
Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers has always been a problem for the Bears. He’s 18-5 against them in his career. Not much has changed since these two teams met last. Sure, there are a couple new faces on both sides, but nothing major has changed. Can Rodgers keep up his dominance of Chicago? Here are the Packers keys to the game:
Keys to the Game:
- Keep Doing Your Thing, Aaron: There’s a reason why Rodgers is one of the best in the game. He throws TDs for days while barely turning the ball over. This season, Rodgers has 29 TD passes to only four interceptions. Rodgers has been able to make the most of his lack of weapons (aside from Adams). Keep doing your thing, Aaron.
- Put Pressure On: The Bears O-Line isn’t going to be able to stop pressure. Za’Darius Smith already has eight sacks this season, and he could be in store for more. Same goes for the rest of Packers D. If you want a sack or tackles for loss, now’s your chance Green Bay.
- Develop a Run Game: The Bears D is great, no doubt about that. However, they allow 115 rush yards a game. They have been able to limit King Henry, Dalvin Cook, and Alvin Kamara, but that doesn’t mean they stop the entire run game. Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams are two excellent backs. If they can develop a run game, that will take pressure off Rodgers and change the tempo of the game.
Analysis and Best Bet
This is going to be a good one. I’m excited to see Tru back in the offense again. And no better time than a divisional clash on SNF with major implications. Aaron Rodgers has owned the Bears in his career, but even with that, it’s hard to predict the outcome of tonight’s game. A good bet I see is the over on 44 points. Usually with the Bears D, I’m more confident in the under, however, Rodgers can’t be contained for long, and I see improvements in the Bears’ offense with Trubisky running the show. Ride the over, it’s a safe bet tonight.
Jay’s NFL Picks Record: 7-3