by Zack Lambert
Tottenham Hotspur at RB Leipzig
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1); O/U: 2.5
Moneyline: Tottenham +450, RB Leipzig -180, Draw +335
Time/Location: 4:00 ET, Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, Germany
Score on Aggregate: Tottenham 0-1 RB Leipzig
It’s tough to be in a worse form than Spurs are right now. With four losses in their last five there isn’t much to look forward to in league or international play, so the only saving grace is that Leipzig have faltered ever so slightly recently. Is it enough to win? Not likely.
Spurs have been outdone eight goals to five in their recent stretch which includes their first leg loss to Leipzig as well as their FA Cup match in which they lost to Norwich on penalties. It’s a fair point that Spurs are without a true number 9 and will be for a while longer, but that doesn’t excuse their recent run. There are too many middling contributors that lack the ability to step up in the spotlight. It will take a momentous effort to beat Leipzig in this state.
Spurs were outdone in every meaningful category in the first leg at home. Now they’re moving into one of the most hostile environments in Europe. If their recent run is any indication, this one will get ugly.
RB Leipzig (DDWWW)
Those two draws are really Tottenham’s only chance at overtaking the 1-0 deficit they’re in right now. Please don’t think that I’m questioning the brilliant Julian Nagelsmann’s side, they’re unbelievably talented, but they have shown they bleed. To write those draws off you have to see that Frankfurt is a very good team and Leipzig were simply looking forward to the more important match with Spurs over Wolfsburg.
To call Leipzig out of form would be a mistake considering just before those two draws they decimated 6th place Schalke 04 5-0. Werner and Nkunku are a top duo in Europe at the moment and they’ll be salivating at the disgraceful back line of the Spurs.
Leipzig were better in just about every facet of the first leg. The wing backs assaulted the box cross after cross and Leipzig were actually unlucky not to score more. If RB can control the game like they did in the first match it’ll likely have a much uglier outcome.
Analysis and Pick
For what they have available, Spurs thought they were trotting out their best available lineup in their first leg. After seeing that group be thoroughly dismantled, Spurs are left looking for answers. There aren’t many reasonable changes to make and no one seems in form enough to slot past an incredible Péter Gulásci.
It isn’t where the money is, but I love RB Leipzig to come away with this victory. An early goal to separate with another later for insurance seems like the way to go and that’s what I would advise. Take Leipzig to win and cover the spread as well as the under.