April 5, 2020

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UFC Brasilia Fight Card & Best Bets

By: Trent Pruitt

It’s been a hectic week in sports around the globe as leagues are getting canceled and postponed what seems like every single hour. UFC’s President, Dana White says the show will go on in Brazil on Saturday afternoon/night! As it may be the last sports we get for a while, I’m going to list the card and break down some of the bets that I’ll be making. I know, I’ve never written about the UFC before but since this is all that’s left, I’ve done a ton of research over the last 24 hours and I feel confident giving out these two picks. 

Event: UFC Fight Night 170: “Lee vs. Oliveira”

Date: Sat., March 14, 2020

Location: Nilson Nelson Gymnasium in Brasilia, Brazil

The Main Event

155 lbs.: Kevin Lee (-150)  vs. Charles Oliveira (+120)

Main Card (6P ET)

170 lbs.: Demian Maia (+150) vs. Gilbert Burns (-185)

115 lbs.: Amanda Ribas (-335) vs. Randa Markos (+255)

155 lbs.: Renato Moicano (-350) vs. Damir Hadzovic (+265)

205 lbs.: Johnny Walker (-155) vs. Nikita Krylov (+125)

125 lbs.: Bruno Silva (-125) vs. David Dvorak (-105)

Prelim Card (3P ET)

155 lbs.: Francisco Trinaldo (-160) vs. John Makdessi (+130)

170 lbs.: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (-130) vs. Aleksei Kunchenko (+100)

135 lbs.: Enrique Barzola (-190) vs. Rani Yahya (+155)

125 lbs.: Jussier Formiga (-155) vs. Brandon Moreno (+125)

125 lbs.: Mayra Bueno Silva (-145) vs. Maryna Moroz (+115)

135 lbs.: Veronica Macedo (-165) vs. Bea Malecki (+135)

Best Bets

After my hours of research, here are a few of my favorite bets for Saturday’s UFC event in Brazil! 

Mayra Bueno Silva -145: We’re heading to the prelims for our first-ever UFC bet on LynqSports.com! This is a matchup between Mayra Bueno Silva at 5-0, fighting out of Brazil and Maryna Moroz, a 9-3 fighter out of Ukraine. Both women are entering having won their last fight and Silva is weighing 135 while Moroz is 125. I have three main reasons why I will be backing Silva here at what I believe to be a cheap price of -145. The first reason is that she is undefeated. The second reason is that she’s fighting in her home country. While there will be no fans in attendance due to the virus, this is still her house. And finally, after my due diligence, I believe that Silva is a very solid ground fighter. I’m calling her a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu master. She’s also a powerful striker who can land hard punches while they’re on their feet. Go with Silva to get the win in this early fight. 

Charles Oliveira +120: I have to give out a pick for the main event, right? I’m going with the underdog in this tilt for a few reasons. Oliveira is 16-0 in fights in Brazil including a 5-0 mark in the UFC. Oliveira has won six straight fights and of the last nine wins, they’ve all come by finishes (submission or knockout). It may look like Charles Oliveira is only a grappler, having 18 career submission wins, but he’s also excellent on his feet. The bottom line, I expect Oliveira to control the fight and take it to Kevin Lee. Honestly, after the research I’ve done, I’m surprised that we’re getting a plus money payout with Oliveira.

To my readers, let’s start our UFC betting career with a pair of victories! I’ve always been a fan of the UFC but I’ve never pulled the trigger on doing deep dives and betting analysis until now! It was pretty fun reading previews, watching film, and listening to other professional analysts so we may have more of these in the future if we do well tomorrow night in Brazil!

Trent’s Career UFC Betting Record

0-0 (+0.00 Units). A $100 unit bettor is even. 

For more sports talk, follow me on Twitter: @the_real_pruitt