UFC Vegas 6 Betting Preview

The UFC rolls on from the Apex center in Las Vegas with yet another Fight Night. This card is headlined by a heavyweight contender clash that could prove to be very important in the future, depending on the results of next week’s heavyweight fights at UFC 252. My best bet for that bout and more are featured below as we get you ready for UFC Vegas 6. 

Main Card (9 P.M. ET on ESPN+)

#4 Derrick Lewis vs. #10 Aleksei Oleinik – Heavyweight Bout

#11 Omari Akhmedov vs. Chris Weidman – Middleweight Bout

Maki Pitolo vs. Darren Stewart – Middleweight Bout

#8 Yana Kunitskaya vs. Julija Soliarenko 

#14 Beneil Dariush vs. Scott Holtzman – Lightweight Bout

Prelims (6 P.M. ET on ESPN+)

Tim Means vs. Laureano Staropoli – Welterweight Bout

Kevin Holland vs. Joaquin Buckley – Middleweight Bout

Nasrat Haqparast vs. Alex Munoz – Lightweight Bout

Andrew Sanchez vs. Wellington Turman – Middleweight Bout

Gavin Tucker vs. Justin Jaynes – Featherweight Bout

Youssef Zalal vs. Peter Barrett – Featherweight Bout

Irwin Rivera vs. Ali Alqaisi – Bantamweight Bout

Derrick Lewis (-190) vs. Aleksei Oleinik (+150)

Stipe Miocic and Daniel Cormier have essentially put the heavyweight division on hold for the past two years, but many think their trilogy title fight next week will be the last ride for both legendary fighters. That makes the implications for this fight of the utmost importance, considering the winner of Saturday’s main event could find himself in serious title contention once Miocic and Cormier decide to call it quits. Both Derrick Lewis (23-7) and Aleksei Oleinik (59-13-1) have been stalwarts in this division for nearly a decade but neither has ever been able to secure the belt. Lewis is a knockout specialist with quite possibly the heaviest hands in the world, aside from maybe Francis Ngannou. Of his 23 professional victories, Lewis has recorded a whopping 16 wins via knockout. He’s a one-punch kind of fighter that can end his opponent’s night before it even gets started.

Oleinik is the total opposite. The 43-year-old Russian has a staggering 46 submission wins. Yes, you read that right, 46 submission victories in his professional career. Name just about any submission move in the book and Oleinik has used it to finish a fight. There’s a reason his nickname is “The Boa Constrictor.” Once he locks in, good luck getting out.

The total contrast in styles makes it nearly impossible to pick a winner in my opinion. However, one play stands out to me, and that’s the over. Given these two are so incredibly different, I have a feeling they will take some time to feel each other out, especially because it’s a five round fight. Not only that, but Oleinik is a masterclass grappler that will likely look to draw this fight out and wear down a cardio-lacking Lewis. As I always stress in all of these betting previews, fights that feature pure grapplers will result in slower finishes.

Best Bet: Over 1.5 rounds (-115)

– Nick Stavas (@nickstavas)

Omari Akhmedov (+115) vs. Chris Weidman (-145)

After an unsuccessful campaign in the light heavyweight division, former middleweight king Chris Weidman (14-5) is cutting back down to 185 pounds in an attempt to reignite his career. He will face 11th-ranked Omari Akhmedov (20-4-1), who hasn’t lost a fight since June of 2016 and is looking to vault himself into the top ten with a win over a big name like Weidman. Weidman is notorious throughout the MMA world as one of the most overrated champions in UFC history. He has a lack of notable wins and is only 1-4 since losing his title to Luke Rockhold back in 2015. Now 36 years old, Weidman is undoubtedly on the downslide of his career Akhmedov is as hot as anyone in the promotion right now. Weidman is still a world class wrestler, but Akhmedov is solid in every aspect and holds a clear striking advantage in this matchup. Given the recent durability of Wediman’s chin, or lack thereof, Akhmedov should have no issues piecing up the aging Weidman and earning himself a very notable victory. I’m scratching my head as to why Weidman is favored here, but I’ll gladly take the plus-money odds on Akhmedov.

Best Bet: Akhmedov ML (+120)

– Nick Stavas (@nickstavas)

Gavin Tucker (-125) vs. Justin Jaynes (+100)

Four days before making his UFC debut back in June, Justin Jaynes (16-4)  wasn’t even on the UFC roster. However, after Matt Frevola was forced to pull out of his scheduled bout against Frank Camacho, Jaynes got the call from Dana White to replace him. As a massive underdog on three day’s notice, Jaynes knocked out Camacho in just 41 seconds, making for an incredible story. With his first fight out of the way, Jaynes returns to the Octagon to face Canada’s Gavin Tucker (11-1). Tucker is 2-1 in the UFC and will look to continue climbing his way up the ladder in the lightweight division.

Considering it’s basically a pick ‘em fight in terms of odds, I’m going to stay away from choosing a winner here. Both of these men are fight finishers. Of his 11 pro wins, Tucker has recorded nine finishes; four by knockout and five by submission. Adding to that, Jaynes has finished five straight fights in the first round. While it could take a round or two for these guys to figure each other out, I don’t think we’ll hear the final horn in this one.

Best Bet: Fight does not go distance (-110)

– Nick Stavas (@nickstavas)

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