We are coming off a tough week where I went 2-3. Not horrible, but we will turn it around this week!
BYU -5 @ Houston: Houston overcame a 5 turnover performance to beat Tulane pretty handily last week. I was looking ahead to this spot to try and play on Houston. But I was expecting this line to be BYU by double digits. This line is simply way too low. BYU is a great team that has already surprised some folks this year. They really dominate in the trenches. That could be a huge problem for Houston who gave up 6 sacks last week. I don’t think those turnovers were a fluke either. Houston’s offensive line is not good, and their QB will be under pressure this entire game. I think Huston’s win says more about Tulane than it does on Houston. I’ll be looking to play Houston later in the year, but BYU is the pick this week.
Umass/Georgia State ov 63: I apologize in advance for forcing anyone to watch this game. The 2019 Umass team may go down in history as one of the worst college football teams to ever take the field. This was mostly due to their defense. They gave up an unreal 52.7 points per game… That is an FBS record that I doubt will ever be broken. Now they do return 7 starters on defense this year. For most teams that would be a good thing, but returning starters can be a bad thing if those starters ran a dumpster fire defense. The crazy thing with UMass too was they played a really fast pace last year despite how bad they were. That is what made them such a good over team last year and why I suspect they’ll be a great over team again this year. Georgia Southern somehow gave up 30 points to UL-Monroe last week. These are 2 terrible defenses that should give up plenty of points. Take over 63.
Kansas/West Virginia un 51.5: West Virginia is coming off a very misleading game against baylor. The final score was 27-21, but 20 of those points were scored in overtime. Kansas only has 440 yards of passing through 3 games…That’s just sad. Kansas is coming in rested, so expect the defense to give a full effort. In West Virginia’s last 2 games they have scored less than 15 points in regulation. Take under 51.5!
Duke/NC State ov 59: Duke ran 100 plays last week. They have really picked up the pace this year. NC State averages 34 points per game. Both teams are due for positive regression on 3rd down conversions. They convert 42% and 36% respectively. Duke also loves to turn the ball over. They already have 9 interceptions on the year and turnovers almost always help the over. Take over 59!
Michael’s 2020 CFB Record:
14-11-1; 56%; $100 bettors up $190