November 24, 2020

Lynq Sports

bet on it

World Series Game 1: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: Analysis & Best Bets 10/20/20

By: MLB Staff

Game one of the World Series gets under way Tuesday night as the Tampa Bay Rays get ready to square up against the Los Angeles Dodgers! It’s been a hell of a postseason packed with drama as the Rays had to fend off a comeback from the Astros, who pushed the ALCS to game seven after being down 3-0 while the Dodgers had some magic of their own, coming back from 3-1 against the Braves. Poor Atlanta sports fans…

Let’s get into the nitty gritty of Tuesday night’s opener where the oddsmakers have the Dodgers as favorites in game one with a total sitting at 7.5. Our MLB staff will be previewing every game this series with their best bets so let’s dive in!

Money Line: LAD -170, TB +157

Run Line: LAD -1.5 (+110), TB +1.5 (-130)

Total: 7.5 (O -101, U -119)

First Pitch: 7:10 CST, Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Current Series Price: LAD -200, TB +175

Trent’s Analysis & Best Bet

Wow, I’m fired up for this series. A top two offense in the Dodgers takes on the deepest pitching staff in baseball for a seven game series to determine who takes home the Commissioner’s trophy. It’ll be Tyler Glasnow getting the nod from Kevin Cash and the Rays while Dave Roberts and the Dodgers will opt for the veteran, Clayton Kershaw. 

I’m going to get right into my bet, I’m taking the Dodgers money line (-175) in the first five innings. While I don’t think this is hugely advantageous, the fact that the Dodgers have played at Globe Life (and in front of fans) gives them a little bit of an edge. That’s more of an intangible, I guess. The main reason we’ll be backing Los Angeles in the first five is because of Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw is notorious for being a bad playoff pitcher and lately that seems to be how people will be remembering him. That isn’t the case early on in games. It seems that once the opponent’s lineup rolls over for a third time (circa the 6th inning) where the struggles start. This postseason the lefty has posted a 1.20 ERA through 15 “first five innings.” He’s made three postseason starts and given up two runs through the first five innings. Let’s also factor in how the Rays have been living off of the longball this postseason. This ballpark is massive so they’re offense may run stagnant early in the game. 

On the flip side, I think the Dodgers can muster up 2-3 runs to cash this ticket. Bellinger is 2-2 with two homers off of Tyler Glasnow and Mookie Betts is 3-9. Anytime you see the 2018 MVP’s posting those numbers, you’re in good hands. 

-Trent Pruitt (@trentbets)

Austin’s Analysis & Best Bet

There are so many fascinating storylines to this World Series. The David vs Goliath, with the Dodgers 2020 payroll being $77 million higher than the Rays. Tampa Bay’s deep pitching staff facing off against Los Angeles’s great lineup. I’m very excited to see how this one plays out. Game one’s pitching matchup of Glasnow vs Kershaw is a great way to start off the 2020 World Series. 

The Rays lineup has been led by rookie Randy Arozarena, who has hit seven homers so far in the postseason. The Dodger offense has plenty of stars like Betts, Bellinger, and Seager. Both lineups are potent, but with it being the World Series the teams will be willing to go to the bullpens early. Tampa Bay has the best bullpen in baseball and Los Angeles has a good one. With that I believe that this game will be low scoring and close all the way through. Give me the under 7.5 at (-119).

-Austin Moehn (austin_moehn22

Jack’s Analysis & Best Bet

Here we go! The Fall Classic between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Tampa Bay Rays is set to kick-off Tuesday night. Tyler Glasnow will get the start for Tampa Bay, and Clayton Kershaw will oppose him for the Dodgers. The Tampa Bay Rays and Los Angeles Dodgers both needed a pivotal Game 7 in the LCS Round to reach this point, but they are both two deserving ball clubs to be a part of this year’s World Series. In past experiences pitching in the World Series, Clayton Kershaw has had mixed results when pitching in Game 1 of the World Series. In 2017, Kershaw went seven innings, allowed just three hits, one earned run and struck out 13 batters that night. In 2018, Kershaw was rocked by the Boston Red Sox, going only four innings and allowing five runs in that span. 

In the 2020 postseason thus far, Kershaw has a 3.32 ERA. The hits and runs have been steadily creeping up for Kershaw in his three postseason starts this season. I think it is fair to say that the Rays offense is lackadaisical at times, especially if Randy Arozarena is being held in check. I am thinking this will be a fairly low scoring game and Clayton Kershaw will go five or six solid innings for Dave Roberts tonight. I am going with the Clayton Kershaw U2.5 total earned runs (-130) as my best bet in Game 1 of the 2020 World Series.

-Jack O’Keefe (@jpokeefe1s

Hector’s Analysis & Best Bet

I will just jump right in for my best bet since the rest of the crew already outlined the matchup fantastically.  I am going to be taking over 4.5 hits allowed from Tyler Glasnow at +110.  The Dodgers are an excellent fastball hitting team that Glasnow relies heavily on that upper 90s fastball.  Glasnow comes in with a 2-1 record and a 4.66 ERA in the postseason and has a WHIP of 1.29.  In his last start against Houston (also a great fastball hitting team), he allowed 8 hits in 6 innings of work.  Look for the Dodgers to jump early and often on Glasnow and get some runners on the basepath. Through 12 games played in the postseason, the Dodgers have a collective 112 hits which comes out to just over 9 hits per game.  The only thing that worries me here is with how strong the Rays bullpen is, Glasnow may be on a short leash so he may not even get the chance to give up 4.5 hits but I have a feeling that Kevin Cash is going to want to ride his ace for as long as possible.

-Hector Duran